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West Virginia: McCain 45% Obama 38%

John McCain begins the general election season with an eight-point advantage over Barack Obama in West Virginia. The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of this general election match-up shows McCain attracting 45% of the vote while Obama earns 37%.

Neither man is terribly popular in the state. McCain earns favorable reviews from 48% and unfavorable ratings from another 48%. The numbers for Obama are 40% favorable and 57% unfavorable. Those figures include 26% with a Very Unfavorable opinion of McCain and 35% with such a negative view of Obama.

McCain and Obama are very competitive nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Republicans are given a % chance of winning West Virginia’s five Electoral College votes this fall. Four years ago, George W. Bush won the state by thirteen percentage points. Four years earlier, West Virginia abandoned a long history of voting for Democrats as the GOP won a six-point victory. West Virginia is listed as “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

While President Bush won 56% of the West Virginia vote in Election 2004, just 27% of the state’s voters now believe he is doing a good or an excellent job. Most—58%--say the President is doing a poor job.

By a 59% to 32% margin, West Virginia voters say it’s more important to get the troops home from Iraq than to win the War. Forty-five percent (45%) say victory is at least somewhat likely if John McCain is elected President. Just 20% say that victory is that likely if Obama is elected. However, 48% believe a President Obama would be at least somewhat likely to get the troops home within four years. Just 35% say a President McCain would be likely to do the same.

Just 12% of West Virginia voters believe that the federal government represents the will of the people while 76% say it does not. These figures are similar to the national average. Seventy percent (70%) say the federal government has become a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests.

Forty-one percent (41%) believe American elections are fair to voters. However, 73% are confident their votes will be accurately counted and the appropriate candidates declared as winners.

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West Virginia Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)




Obama (D)




This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on June 2, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.

Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in West Virginia




Very Favorable



Somewhat Favorable



Somewhat Unfavorable



Very Unfavorable



Not Sure



Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary





Toss-Ups & Leaners


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.