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West Virginia: McCain 45% Obama 38%

John McCain begins the general election season with an eight-point advantage over Barack Obama in West Virginia. The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of this general election match-up shows McCain attracting 45% of the vote while Obama earns 37%.

Neither man is terribly popular in the state. McCain earns favorable reviews from 48% and unfavorable ratings from another 48%. The numbers for Obama are 40% favorable and 57% unfavorable. Those figures include 26% with a Very Unfavorable opinion of McCain and 35% with such a negative view of Obama.

McCain and Obama are very competitive nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Republicans are given a % chance of winning West Virginia’s five Electoral College votes this fall. Four years ago, George W. Bush won the state by thirteen percentage points. Four years earlier, West Virginia abandoned a long history of voting for Democrats as the GOP won a six-point victory. West Virginia is listed as “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

While President Bush won 56% of the West Virginia vote in Election 2004, just 27% of the state’s voters now believe he is doing a good or an excellent job. Most—58%--say the President is doing a poor job.

By a 59% to 32% margin, West Virginia voters say it’s more important to get the troops home from Iraq than to win the War. Forty-five percent (45%) say victory is at least somewhat likely if John McCain is elected President. Just 20% say that victory is that likely if Obama is elected. However, 48% believe a President Obama would be at least somewhat likely to get the troops home within four years. Just 35% say a President McCain would be likely to do the same.

Just 12% of West Virginia voters believe that the federal government represents the will of the people while 76% say it does not. These figures are similar to the national average. Seventy percent (70%) say the federal government has become a special interest group that looks out primarily for its own interests.

Forty-one percent (41%) believe American elections are fair to voters. However, 73% are confident their votes will be accurately counted and the appropriate candidates declared as winners.

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West Virginia Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

52%

49%

49%

Obama (D)

43%

41%

43%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on June 2, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in West Virginia

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

32%

32%

Somewhat Favorable

28%

15%

Somewhat Unfavorable

16%

15%

Very Unfavorable

22%

36%

Not Sure

2%

3%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.