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Washington: Obama Pulls Ahead by 10

Barack Obama has regained his solid lead over John McCain in Washington, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the state. The Democrat now leads his opponent 53% to 43%.

The race now resembles that of previous surveys before McCain managed to close the gap early last month following his surprise naming of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate. Support for the Democrat this month ties his previous high reached back in June.

Washington has cast its 11 Electoral College votes for Democratic candidates in each of the last five elections. In 2004, John Kerry took the state by a 53% to 46% margin.

Though both candidates draw heavy support from their own parties in Washington, unaffiliated voters are still fairly evenly divided. Obama has a 48% to 44% advantage over McCain among those voters. Obama also leads 51% to 45% among men and 54% to 40% among women in the state ( Premium Members can view full demographic crosstabs).

McCain is viewed favorably by 56% of Washington voters and unfavorably by 43%. Obama’s ratings are 59% favorable, 39% unfavorable.

The gubernatorial race rematch between incumbent Democrat Christine Gregoire and GOP challenger Dino Rossi is now a tie.

Washington voters hold the vice presidential nominees in a less flattering light than their running mates. Joseph Biden earns favorable opinions from 54% and unfavorable opinions from 39%. Palin is viewed favorably by 46% and unfavorably by 51%.

When it comes to the struggling economy, Washington voters trust Obama more than McCain to handle the issue by a 50% to 41% margin. Most voters (54%) say creating economic growth is the more important policy goal, while 34% say that of reducing the gap between rich and poor. Voters overwhelmingly believe McCain sees economic growth as more important, while the majority also believes Obama’s top economic goal is reducing the income gap.

Just nine percent (9%) of voters in Washington give the current U.S. economy good or excellent ratings, while 56% rate it as poor. Most (83%) believe the economy is getting worse, while only five percent (5%) think it's getting better.

The candidates are nearly even on the issue of national security, an issue McCain generally holds the advantage on nationwide. In Washington, voters trust Obama slightly more by a 48% to 46% margin.

Nationally, Obama has managed to hold a steady lead over McCain over the past week in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. LINK

President Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 29% of voters in Washington, while 55% rate his job performance as poor.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 2, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Washington Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/22/2008

43%

54%

43%

53%

47%

49%

40%

52%

39%

48%

35%

53%

40%

51%

43%

48%

45%

44%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Washington

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

28%

45%

Somewhat Favorable

28%

16%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

14%

Very Unfavorable

24%

24%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

160

260

118


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.