If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

Election 2008: Washington Presidential Election
Obama 54%, McCain 43% in Washington

Barack Obama continues to hold a double-digit lead over John McCain in Washington, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports survey of voters in the state.

Obama now leads McCain 54% to 43%, with just two percent (2%) of voters undecided. This is Obama’s highest percentage showing in the race to date. At the beginning of the month, the Democrat was ahead 53% to 43%.

The race was closest six weeks ago, when Obama had just a two-point lead, but as in much of the country, McCain’s fortunes in Washington fell once Wall Street’s problems began dominating the news.Nationally, Obama has enjoyed a modest lead over McCain every day for nearly a month in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) of Washington voters expect Obama to carry their state on Election Day. Just 18% think McCain will win the state.

Washington has been carried by the Democratic candidate in the last five presidential elections.Rasmussen Markets currently gives Obama % chance of winning Washington’s 11 Electoral College votes next month. At the time this poll was released, Washington was rated “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

Washington Governor Christine Gregoire now has a narrow lead over repeat Republican challenger Dino Rossi in her bid for reelection.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Obama and McCain both have the support of 93% of their respective party members in Washington. The Democrat has a six-point lead among unaffiliated voters.

Male voters prefer Obama by 12 points, and women voters give him the edge by 10 (see full demographic crosstabs).

Sixty-one percent (61%) have a favorable opinion of Obama, while 38% see him unfavorably. The Republican is viewed favorably by 56%, unfavorably by 43%. These numbers are nearly identical to where they were in early October.

Forty-five percent (45%) of Washington voters rate the economy as the number one issue in the election, while 22% say national security is most important.

Voters give Obama an 11-point advantage over McCain in terms of trust on the economy. They’re evenly divided over which candidate they trust more on national security.

Just over half (51%) agree with Obama that when the government spreads wealth around, it’s good for everybody, but 37% disagree.

New presidential polling data also has been released this week from Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Minnesota, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and West Virginia. See an overview of all state polls and the latest Electoral College projections. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House. (see 50-State Summary).

In Washington, 46% say elections are fair to voters, while 34% disagree. But 47% are very confident that their votes will be counted, and an additional 36% are somewhat confident of that. Only three percent (3%) are not at all confident of their vote being counted.

Forty-five percent (45%) think it is more likely that people will vote illegally on Election Day than that legitimate voters will be denied the right to vote. Thirty-three percent (33%) believe the opposite.

Would-be voters should be required to show photo identification before being allowed to cast their ballots, according to 71% of Washington voters. Twenty-two percent (22%) disagree.

President Bush’s job performance is rated good or excellent by 28% of Washington voters, poor by 53%.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

Washington Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

43%

44%

41%

Obama (D)

54%

52%

51%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Washington Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/22/2008

43%

54%

10/02/2008

43%

53%

09/10/2008

47%

49%

08/06/2008

40%

52%

07/09/2008

39%

48%

06/09/2008

35%

53%

05/12/2008

40%

51%

03/27/2008

43%

48%

02/28/2008

45%

44%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Washington

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

28%

45%

Somewhat Favorable

28%

16%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

14%

Very Unfavorable

24%

24%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.