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Utah: McCain Has Solid Lead in Historically Red State

John McCain has a comfortable lead over Barack Obama of 52% to 33% in Utah, according to the first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the state's voters this year.

McCain is supported by 76% of Republicans and 19% of Democrats in the Beehive State. Obama’s support comes from 71% of Democrats and 11% of Republicans. Among unaffiliated voters, it is Obama who leads 45% to 30%.

McCain is viewed favorably by 58% and unfavorably by 39%. Obama’s ratings are less flattering, with 46% who view him favorably and 52% who view him unfavorably.

Men have a more favorably view of McCain than women do, while women tend to have a more favorable view of Obama than men. Among men, 61% have a favorable of McCain, while just 42% have a favorable view of Obama. While 45% of women voters have a favorable view of the Republican candidate, 49% have a favorable view of Obama.

Rasmussen Markets shows that McCain is currently given a % chance of winning Utah this fall. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants.

Utah has historically cast its five Electoral College votes for Republican candidates. In 2004, President Bush won the state by a landslide. Utah is classified as"Safe Republican" by the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power calculator.

Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 45% of voters in Utah. Just 34% say he is doing a poor job. Those numbers are noticeably more positive than national numbers, where Bush’s ratings are hovering near record lows.

The majority of Utah voters (65%) do not think Hillary Clinton should be Obama’s running mate. Just 17% think the opposite.

While the majority of Utah voters (72%) do not think McCain is too old to be president, voters are split on Obama’s experience. While nearly half (47%) of voters think Obama is too inexperienced to be president, 41% disagree.

Half of the voters in Utah (51%) think winning the war in Iraq is a more important goal for the next president than getting the troops home. Another 41% disagree. Nationally, most voters would rather see the troops brought home.

Sixty-five percent (65%) of voters in Utah believe the U.S. government has become a special interest group, while 15% do think this is the case. Those numbers are very similar to national numbers. Just 18% of voters believe the government represents the will of the people, while 68% disagree.

Three out of four Utah voters think drilling in offshore oil wells should be allowed to help reduce gas prices, while just 18% think should not be allowed. Voters in Utah are more supportive of this idea than voters nationwide [link.] Just a quarter of voters (25%) think the government should nationalize oil companies, while 57% disagree.

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Utah Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

64%

56%

64%

Obama (D)

32%

33%

28%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 19, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Utah

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

24%

24%

Somewhat Favorable

47%

14%

Somewhat Unfavorable

12%

23%

Very Unfavorable

16%

37%

Not Sure

1%

2%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.