A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Texas shows the presidential race has grown slightly closer over the past month. John McCain now leads Barack Obama 48% to 39% in the Lone Star state.
Last month, McCain enjoyed a thirteen-point lead over the Democrat. In May, the Republican had just a five-point lead in the state. Nationally, since clinching the Democratic nomination, Obama has held onto a modest lead in the Rasmussen daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
McCain has a dominant 50% to 33% lead among men in Texas, but the two candidates are essentially tied among women.
The Republican draws support from 79% of voters in his own party, Obama is backed by 72% of Democrats and McCain leads 49% to 32% among unaffiliated voters. He led 56% to 30% among unaffiliateds in early June.
McCain is viewed favorably by 61% and unfavorably by 34%. Obama’s ratings are 50% favorably and 48% unfavorable.
A third of voters in Texas think Hillary Clinton should be Barack Obama’s running mate, while 45% disagree.
While just over a quarter (26%) of voters in Texas think McCain is too old to President, over half (53%) think Obama is too inexperienced.
Two-thirds of Texas voters (69%) favor drilling in offshore oil wells while 22% disagree. If offshore drilling were allowed, 59% of voters in Texas think it would be likely that gas prices would go down, while 34% find it unlikely.
Texas native President Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 41% of Texas voters, while 42% think the president is doing a poor job.
In the state’s U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent John Cornyn leads Democratic challenger Rick Noriega by double-digits.
The survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations, Inc.
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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 25, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
See Methodology.
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Texas Trends: McCain vs. Obama |
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|---|---|---|
|
Date |
McCain |
Obama |
|
10/21/2008 |
54% |
44% |
|
52% |
43% |
|
|
50% |
41% |
|
|
50% |
41% |
|
|
48% |
39% |
|
|
52% |
39% |
|
|
48% |
43% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Texas |
||
|---|---|---|
|
McCain |
Obama |
|
|
Very Favorable |
36% |
36% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
30% |
11% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
16% |
15% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
17% |
37% |
|
Not Sure |
0% |
1% |
|
Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary |
|
|---|---|
|
160 |
|
|
260 |
|
|
118 |
|
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.