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Election 2008: Tennessee Presidential Election
McCain Up by Twelve in Tennessee

John McCain now leads Barack Obama 54% to 42% in Tennessee, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.

The latest numbers represent a modest slip for the Republican, who led 58% to 39% in late September. However, McCain has held double-digit leads since tracking began in April, with his lowest level support at 51% in June.

McCain has a dominant twenty-four percentage point lead among unaffiliated voters in Tennessee. He also leads 54% to 40% among men in the state. The race is a little tighter among women, who favor McCain 53% to 44%.

Rasmussen Markets data gives Republicans a % chance of carrying Tennessee next month. The state has cast its 11 Electoral College votes for the Republican candidate in four out of the last six presidential elections and is rated as “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

McCain is viewed favorably by 63% of Tennessee voters and unfavorably by 36%. Obama’s ratings are 45% favorable, 54% unfavorable.

Twenty-nine percent (29%) of voters in Tennessee say they know someone who voting against Obama based on his race. That number includes 48% of Democrats and 26% of unaffiliated voters. Just 11% of Republicans say this is true.

While 39% of voters in Tennessee say Obama’s campaign has been generally positive overall, just 25% say that about McCain’s campaign. Thirty-seven percent (37%) say McCain’s campaign has been generally negative, compared to 32% who say that of the democrat’s campaign.

When it comes to the all important issue of the struggling economy, 57% of Tennessee voters disagree with the economic rescue plan passed by Congress recently, while just 21% agree with the plan. However, 28% think the plan will have a positive impact on the economy, while 29% say it will have no impact.

Sixty percent (60%) say lowering taxes is the best policy to help spur economic growth, though 44% say raising taxes for wealthier individuals would be good for the economy. Most voters (53%) say raising the capital gains tax would be bad for the economy.

President Bush earns good or excellent marks from 37% of Tennessee voters, while 46% give the president’s job performance a poor rating.

The latest survey of the United States Senate race in Tennessee, released yesterday, finds GOP incumbent Lamar Alexander leading Bob Tuke by twenty-eight points.

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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 16, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


Tennessee Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/16/2008

54%

42%

58%

39%

56%

32%

51%

36%

58%

31%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Tennessee

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

32%

32%

Somewhat Favorable

31%

13%

Somewhat Unfavorable

15%

14%

Very Unfavorable

21%

40%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.