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Election 2008: Oklahoma Presidential Election
McCain Far Out Front in Oklahoma 63% to 32%

John McCain is holding a two-to-one lead over Barack Obama in the Republican stronghold state of Oklahoma, according to the first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters there this election year.

McCain has 63% of the vote versus Obama’s 32% (see crosstabs).

Not only does the GOP presidential nominee have the backing of 95% of Republicans, but 41% of Oklahoma Democrats support him, too. Fifty-five percent (55%) of Democrats favor Obama. Unaffiliated voters are nearly evenly divided over the two candidates.

Nationally, the race between Obama and McCain remains close in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Electoral College projections.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

In Oklahoma, 41% of voters have a Very Favorable view of McCain. The identical number (41%) have a Very Unfavorable view of Obama, compared to 11% who feel that way about McCain. Twenty percent (20%) say their opinion of Obama is Very Favorable.

The Republican ticket gets a boost, too, from Alaska Governor Sarah Palin’s selection as the party’s vice presidential nominee. Sixty-six percent (66%) say she was the right choice to be McCain’s running mate as opposed to 30% who say that of Obama’s selection of Delaware Senator Joseph Biden. Forty-two percent (42%) say Biden was the wrong choice, but only 22% feel that way about Palin.

Sixty-nine percent (69%) rate their view of Palin as at least somewhat favorable, including 56% who say it is Very Favorable. Eighteen percent (18%) say they have a Very Unfavorable opinion of Palin.

By comparison, 37% have at least a somewhat favorable view of Biden, including 16% who say that view is Very Favorable. Thirty-one percent (31%) have a Very Unfavorable opinion of the longtime Democratic senator.

Seventy-seven percent (77%) say Palin is at least somewhat conservative, and over half (52%) say she is Very Conservative. Fifty percent (50%) believe Biden is at least somewhat liberal, with 24% saying he is Very Liberal. Twenty-nine percent (29%) say Biden is a moderate.

McCain has a sizable lead among both men and women, although the latter are slightly more supportive of the Democrat. In all age groups and all but one income category (those earning $20,000 to $40,000 a year), the Republican leads handily.

Oklahoma has gone for the GOP presidential candidate in every election since 1968 and has one of the most conservative congressional delegations. President Bush won the state with 66% of the vote in 2004.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Republicans are currently given a % chance of winning Oklahoma’s seven Electoral College votes this fall. At the time this poll was released, Oklahoma was ranked as “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of Oklahoma voters say they will be voting with enthusiasm for their candidate, but 30% say they will be voting primarily against the other candidate.

For 34% of voters economic issues are the most important ones in this election, but 29% say national security is the priority.

Forty-three percent (43%) give Bush good or excellent marks for his job performance, but 34% rate his work as poor.

Rasmussen Reports also has released polls on the presidential race this week for Washington, Alaska, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Idaho, New Mexico and North Dakota. Additional state poll results will be released at RasmussenReports.com each Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern and Tuesday-Friday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is released each morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. Other polling is released at 7:00 a.m., Noon, and 3:00 p.m. Eastern weekdays along with other updates as needed.

Premium Members can review full demographic crosstabs for all state polls and get the first look at all Rasmussen Reports polling data. Learn More.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Oklahoma Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

63%

63%

62%

Obama (D)

32%

32%

33%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 11, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Favorable Ratings For Presidential Candidates in Oklahoma

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

41%

20%

Somewhat Favorable

31%

17%

Somewhat Unfavorable

15%

19%

Very Unfavorable

11%

41%

Not Sure

2%

4%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade