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Ohio: McCain 50%, Obama 46%

The latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds John McCain holding onto a modest 50% to 46% lead over Barack Obama in Ohio.

A week ago, McCain had a 48% to 45% in the Buckeye State. This is the tenth straight poll that McCain has held a slight lead this year. The Republican enjoyed his biggest lead during the first week of September, with seven points.

This week, McCain holds the edge among unaffiliated voters, 49% to 42%. Last week, Obama led among this group.

Among men, McCain leads 54% to 41%, while Obama leads 50% to 46% among women (full demographic crosstabs available for Premium Members).

McCain is viewed favorably by 56% of Ohio voters and unfavorably by 42%. Obama’s ratings are 50% favorable, 49% unfavorable.

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Ohio, with its 20 Electoral College votes, is rated as “Leans Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. A classic swing state, George W. Bush carried it in both 2000 and 2004, but Democrat Bill Clinton won Ohio in the two previous presidential elections. Rasmussen Markets data shows that McCain is currently given a % chance of carrying Ohio this November. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right-hand corner of this article.

McCain is trusted more than Obama by voters by a 49% to 43% margin. However, just 24% say they would be extremely comfortable with him in the White House, while 30% say that of the democratic nominee. Still, 45% of voters say they would be not at all comfortable with an Obama presidency, while just 36% say that about McCain.

Voters are pretty evenly divided as to who they trust more on the economy and jobs, with Obama holding the edge 49% to 47%.

McCain performs well on national security and the War on Terrorism, leading his opponent 55% to 41% on this issue.

If faced with the toughest decision of their lives, 52% of voters in Ohio say they would turn to McCain for advice, while 39% would ask Obama.

Rasmussen Reports and Fox News Channel will jointly release a series battleground state polls every Monday night at 6:00 p.m. Eastern. Other polls tonight were released for Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. See overview of all polling released this week. Premium Members can review full demographic crosstabs for all state polls and get the first look at all Rasmussen Reports polling data. Learn More.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll follows the race on a national basis and is updated every morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. (Sign up for a free daily e-mail update). Other polling is released at 7:00 a.m., Noon, and 3:00 p.m. Eastern weekdays along with other updates as needed.

President George W. Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 34% of Ohio voters, while 47% say the president is doing a poor job.

Ohio Governor Ted Strickland earns good or excellent ratings from 45% of voters, while 17% say he is doing a poor job.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Ohio Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

49%

48%

45%

Obama (D)

49%

48%

48%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 21, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Ohio Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/02/2008

49%

49%

10/26/2008

45%

49%

10/19/2008

49%

47%

10/14/2008

49%

49%

10/12/2008

47%

49%

10/05/2008

48%

47%

09/28/2008

48%

47%

09/24/2008

47%

46%

09/21/2008

50%

46%

09/14/2008

48%

45%

09/08/2008

51%

44%

08/18/2008

45%

41%

08/21/2008

46%

40%

06/17/2008

44%

43%

05/14/2008

45%

44%

04/08/2008

47%

40%

03/13/2008

46%

40%

02/19/2008

42%

41%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Ohio

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

36%

40%

Somewhat Favorable

21%

10%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

11%

Very Unfavorable

20%

37%

Not Sure

3%

3%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.