If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

McCain 48%, Obama 47% Again in Ohio

Ohio’s still a horse race in the latest Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.

For the second week in a row, John McCain leads Barack Obama by a single point, 48% to 47%. Libertarian candidate Bob Barr and independent candidate Ralph Nader each earn one percent (1%) of the vote. Two weeks ago McCain led by four points.

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Ohio voters say they are certain of the candidate they are voting for. But 22% say they may change their minds, including 29% of Catholic voters and 26% of those ages 18-39.

Ninety percent (90%) of Ohio Republicans back McCain while Obama has the support of 85% of Democratic voters. Unaffiliated voters are evenly divided.

The GOP presidential candidate leads by 12 points among men and trails by 10 among women voters (see full demographic crosstabs).

Fifty-five percent (55%) view McCain favorably, 43% unfavorably. Obama has 53% favorables and 45% unfavorables.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Nationally, Obama has opened a steady lead over McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

With increasing turmoil on Wall Street and Congress battling for the past two weeks over an economic rescue plan, 52% of Ohio voters now say the economy is the most important issue in the election. Only 17% say national security is more important.

Obama has a 48% to 45% edge in terms of voter trust on jobs and the economy, while McCain leads 53% to 42% when voters are asked who they trust more on national security and the war on terror.

Ohio, with 20 Electoral College votes, is now rated a “Toss-up” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Ohio is regarded as a critical swing state. George W. Bush won it in 2000 and 2004, but Democrat Bill Clinton carried the state in the two previous presidential elections.

Rasmussen Markets data gives McCain a % chance of winning Ohio this November. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right-hand corner of this article.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) say they would be at least somewhat comfortable with Obama as president. Sixty-three percent (63%) say the same of McCain.

But the margin is wider in terms of the two parties’ vice presidential nominees. Seventy-one percent (71%) express at least some comfort with Obama’s running mate, Joseph Biden, as vice president, compared to 57% who feel that way about Sarah Palin.

If confronted with the toughest decision of their lives, 47% would ask advice of McCain, 42% of Obama.

New polling was released Monday night with statewide results from Colorado, Florida, Missouri, Ohio, and Virginia. See an overview of all five state polls and the latest Electoral College projections. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House (see 50-State Summary).

Recent statewide presidential polls have been released for Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Hawaii, Kentucky, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico , North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and Washington. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

See results from recent polling on Senate races.

Twenty-eight percent (28%) of Ohio votes say President Bush is doing a good or excellent job, but 49% rate his performance as poor.

Ohio Ted Strickland, a Democrat, is given good or excellent marks for job performance by 44% of the state’s voters. Eighteen percent (18%) say he is doing a poor job.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Ohio Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

49%

48%

45%

Obama (D)

49%

48%

48%

This telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Ohio Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/02/2008

49%

49%

10/26/2008

45%

49%

10/19/2008

49%

47%

10/14/2008

49%

49%

10/12/2008

47%

49%

10/05/2008

48%

47%

09/28/2008

48%

47%

09/24/2008

47%

46%

09/21/2008

50%

46%

09/14/2008

48%

45%

09/08/2008

51%

44%

08/18/2008

45%

41%

08/21/2008

46%

40%

06/17/2008

44%

43%

05/14/2008

45%

44%

04/08/2008

47%

40%

03/13/2008

46%

40%

02/19/2008

42%

41%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Ohio

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

36%

40%

Somewhat Favorable

21%

10%

Somewhat Unfavorable

19%

11%

Very Unfavorable

20%

37%

Not Sure

3%

3%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.