It’s all even in Ohio.
The final Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state before Election Day shows John McCain and Barack Obama each attracting 49% of the vote. Last week, Obama held a modest lead in the Buckeye State.
Obama leads among those who have already voted while McCain is projected to pick up more votes from those who show up at the polls on Tuesday.
However, among the six Battleground States polled in the final days of Election 2008, Ohio is one of the two states where McCain gained ground (the other was Florida). This helps explain why the campaigns have had such a strong presence in the state during the closing days of Election 2008. In the last six Fox News/Rasmussen Reports Ohio polls, Obama and McCain have been within two points of each other five times. Neither man has reached the 50% level of support in any of the past six Ohio surveys.
McCain attracts 64% of the vote from Evangelical Christians, 53% from other Protestants, 53% from Catholics, and just 28% from everybody else.
Overall, McCain is now viewed favorably by 57% of Ohio voters, Obama by 50%.
Little change was found this week in Colorado, Missouri, North Carolina, and Virginia. Obama now leads in two of the six key battleground states while the candidates are tied or within a point of each other in four. At one level, that’s an improvement for McCain. Last week, he was even in just two states while trailing in four.
In the Electoral College projections, Rasmussen Reports now shows Obama leading 260 to 160. When states that are leaning in one way or the other are included, Obamaleads 286 to 160. A total of 270 Electoral College votes are needed to win the White House (Predict how many Electoral College votes Obama will win this year).
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This telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports November 2, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
See Methodology.
|
Ohio Trends: McCain vs. Obama |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Date |
McCain |
Obama |
|
11/02/2008 |
49% |
49% |
|
45% |
49% |
|
|
49% |
47% |
|
|
49% |
49% |
|
|
47% |
49% |
|
|
48% |
47% |
|
|
48% |
47% |
|
|
47% |
46% |
|
|
50% |
46% |
|
|
48% |
45% |
|
|
51% |
44% |
|
|
45% |
41% |
|
|
46% |
40% |
|
|
44% |
43% |
|
|
45% |
44% |
|
|
47% |
40% |
|
|
46% |
40% |
|
|
42% |
41% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Ohio |
||
|---|---|---|
|
McCain |
Obama |
|
|
Very Favorable |
36% |
40% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
21% |
10% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
19% |
11% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
20% |
37% |
|
Not Sure |
3% |
3% |
|
Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary |
|
|---|---|
|
160 |
|
|
173 |
|
|
205 |
|
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
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