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Election 2008: New Mexico Presidential Election
New Mexico: Obama 54%, McCain 44%

Barack Obama holds a 10-point lead over John McCain in New Mexico.

Not coincidentally, Obama also holds an 11-point edge on the question of which candidate is trusted more on the economy.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows Obama with 54% of the vote while McCain attracts 44%. That’s little changed from mid-October when the Democratic nominee held a 55% to 42% lead.

Fifty-two percent (52%) say they trust Obama more when it comes to economic issues while 41% trust McCain. The Republican hopeful has a slight edge when it comes to which candidate is trusted more on national security issues.

Nationally, Obama holds a slight lead over McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and in the Electoral College projections.

Forty-four percent (44%) of New Mexico voters are Very Confident their votes will be properly counted and the right candidate declared victorious. Another 37% are Somewhat Confident that the right candidate will win the state’s Electoral College votes.

Seventy percent (70%) say would-be voters should be required to show photo identification before being allowed to vote.

Democrat Tom Udall leads Republican Steve Pearce by a wide margin in New Mexico’s U.S. Senate race. New numbers on that race will be released tomorrow.

Battleground state polls released Monday showed Obama leading in Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Virginia.

In Missouri and North Carolina, the race remains a toss-up while McCain leads by five in his home state of Arizona. Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-163. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 313-174.

Other new polls show McCain ahead in Alaska, Arkansas and Mississippi while Obama has the advantage in Michigan, New Mexico and Pennsylvania. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More .

 

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


New Mexico Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/28/2008

44%

54%

42%

55%

44%

49%

49%

47%

41%

47%

41%

46%

39%

47%

41%

50%

42%

45%

44%

44%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in New Mexico

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

31%

46%

Somewhat Favorable

18%

11%

Somewhat Unfavorable

18%

9%

Very Unfavorable

32%

33%

Not Sure

1%

2%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.