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Election 2008: New Mexico Presidential Election
New Mexico: Obama 54%, McCain 44%

Barack Obama holds a 10-point lead over John McCain in New Mexico.

Not coincidentally, Obama also holds an 11-point edge on the question of which candidate is trusted more on the economy.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state shows Obama with 54% of the vote while McCain attracts 44%. That’s little changed from mid-October when the Democratic nominee held a 55% to 42% lead.

Fifty-two percent (52%) say they trust Obama more when it comes to economic issues while 41% trust McCain. The Republican hopeful has a slight edge when it comes to which candidate is trusted more on national security issues.

Men are evenly divided, but women favor Obama by 19 percentage points (see crosstabs).Obama is viewed favorably by 57% of voters, down two points from the previous survey. McCain earns positive reviews from 49%, down five.

Nationally, Obama holds a slight lead over McCain in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and in the Electoral College projections.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Forty-four percent (44%) of New Mexico voters are Very Confident their votes will be properly counted and the right candidate declared victorious. Another 37% are Somewhat Confident that the right candidate will win the state’s Electoral College votes.

Seventy percent (70%) say would-be voters should be required to show photo identification before being allowed to vote.

Democrat Tom Udall leads Republican Steve Pearce by a wide margin in New Mexico’s U.S. Senate race. New numbers on that race will be released tomorrow.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Obama currently has an % chance of winning New Mexico’s five Electoral College votes this fall. President Bush won the state by 6,000 votes out of nearly 750,000 cast in Election 2004. New Mexico is considered a “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings.

Battleground state polls released Monday showed Obama leading in Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Virginia.

In Missouri and North Carolina, the race remains a toss-up while McCain leads by five in his home state of Arizona. Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-163. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 313-174.

Other new polls show McCain ahead in Alaska, Arkansas and Mississippi while Obama has the advantage in Michigan, New Mexico and Pennsylvania. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More .

 

Recent statewide presidential polls have been released for Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Hawaii, Kentucky, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and Washington. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

New Mexico Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

44%

43%

43%

Obama (D)

54%

53%

51%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


New Mexico Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/28/2008

44%

54%

10/13/2008

42%

55%

10/01/2008

44%

49%

09/08/2008

49%

47%

08/20/2008

41%

47%

07/24/2008

41%

46%

06/19/2008

39%

47%

05/14/2008

41%

50%

04/08/2008

42%

45%

02/18/2008

44%

44%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in New Mexico

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

31%

46%

Somewhat Favorable

18%

11%

Somewhat Unfavorable

18%

9%

Very Unfavorable

32%

33%

Not Sure

1%

2%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.