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In Nevada, McCain Up By Three Points

In Nevada, John McCain continues to hold a very slight advantage over Barack Obama.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows McCain attracting 49% of the vote while Obama earns 46%. That three-point advantage is unchanged from a month ago. The two candidates have been within three points of each other for four straight monthly polls, but McCain has held a slight advantage in five of the last six. Crosstabs with more detailed results and demographic breakdowns are available for Premium Members.

Nevada is one of three southwestern states targeted by the Obama campaign. Like New Mexico and Colorado it went narrowly for President Bush four years ago and all three are very competitive this time around.

Nationally, the race between Obama and McCain remains close in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Electoral College projections.

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McCain is now viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Nevada, unchanged over the past month.

Obama currently gets positive reviews from 53%, up six from a month ago, but up just one from two months ago.

Those figures include 35% with a Very Favorable opinion of Obama and 29% who are that enthusiastic about McCain.

McCain’s running mate, Sarah Palin, is viewed favorably by 54%. That includes 40% with a Very Favorable opinion of the Alaska Governor. Joe Biden, the Democratic Vice Presidential nominee, is viewed favorably by 52% including 23% with a Very Favorable opinion.

By a 47% to 39% margin, voters in Nevada say that McCain made the right choice when he picked Palin for the ticket. Thirty-five percent (35%) believe that Obama made the right choice while 37% disagree.

Palin is viewed as politically conservative by 79%, Biden as politically liberal by 51%.

Rasmussen Markets data currently gives McCain a % chance of winning Nevada this November. Nevada has cast its five Electoral College votes for the winning candidate in seven straight presidential elections. The last four have been very competitive with nobody carrying the state by more than four percent of the popular vote. As the poll is released, Nevada is considered a “Toss-Up” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

Rasmussen Reports has released polls on the presidential race this week for Missouri, Washington, Alaska, Michigan, Montana, Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Idaho, New Mexico and North Dakota Additional state poll results will be released at RasmussenReports.com each Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern and Tuesday-Friday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is released each morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. Other polling is released at 7:00 a.m., Noon, and 3:00 p.m. Eastern weekdays along with other updates as needed.

Premium Members can review full demographic crosstabs for all state polls and get the first look at all Rasmussen Reports polling data. Learn More.

While most Nevada voters cast a ballot for George W. Bush four years ago, most (51%) now think the president is doing a poor job. Just 34% say he is doing a good or an excellent job.

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Nevada Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

46%

46%

46%

Obama (D)

50%

50%

48%

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 11, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Nevada Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/27/2008

46%

50%

10/16/2008

45%

50%

10/02/2008

47%

51%

09/11/2008

49%

46%

08/11/2008

45%

42%

07/16/2008

40%

42%

06/18/2008

45%

42%

05/20/2008

46%

40%

04/21/2008

48%

43%

03/19/2008

41%

45%

02/12/2008

38%

50%


Favorable Ratings For Presidential Candidates in Nevada

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

30%

41%

Somewhat Favorable

23%

10%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

11%

Very Unfavorable

25%

37%

Not Sure

2%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.