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Election 2008: Nevada Presidential Election
Obama 50%, McCain 46% in Nevada

With one week until Election Day, Barack Obama’s lead in Nevada remains steady, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.

Obama leads John McCain 50% to 46% in the findings from Monday night. Ten days ago the Democrat had a five-point lead, 50% to 45%. He took the lead in Nevada – by four points - at the beginning of this month, the first time he’d been out front since July.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Nevada voters say Obama is the candidate most likely to carry Nevada next Tuesday, while 35% say McCain will win.

Obama made two appearances in Nevada on Saturday, his 19th visit to the state where he also battled Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primaries. McCain has not been in the state since August, although his running mate, Sarah Palin, staged a rally there last week.

Nationally, Obama has opened a stable lead over McCain in both the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and the Electoral College projections.

Rasmussen Markets data currently gives McCain a % chance of winning Nevada this November. Nevada has cast its five Electoral College votes for the winning candidate in seven straight presidential elections.

Obama is viewed favorably by 51% of Nevada voters and unfavorably by 48%. Fifty-three percent (53%) regard McCain favorably while 45% see him unfavorably.

Forty-nine percent (49%) say the economy is the primary issue in the campaign. Voters in Nevada are closely divided over which candidate they trust more to deal with that issue. Forty-seven percent (47%), however, agree with Obama that when the government spreads wealth around, it’s good for everybody, but 43% disagree.

Nineteen percent (19%) say national security is the most important issue in the campaign. Voters trust McCain more than Obama by 10 points in this area.

Forty-five percent (45%) say it is more likely that people will vote illegally on Election Day than that eligible voters will be turned away at the polls, but 37% think the latter is more likely to occur. Nearly one-out-of-five (18%) are undecided.

Eighty-two percent (82%) say people should be required to show photo identification before being allowed to vote. Just 13% disagree.

Nearly half (49%) say elections are fair to voters, although 29% disagree with 22% undecided. Eighty-nine percent (89%) are at least somewhat confident that their votes will be counted, with just three percent (3%) not at all confident of that.

President Bush is given good or excellent marks for his job performance from 32% of Nevada voters, up seven points from two weeks ago. Fifty percent (50%) say he is doing a poor job, down three from the earlier survey.

Twenty-five percent (25%) say Nevada Governor Jim Gibbons, a Republican, is doing a good or excellent job, but 43% say his performance is poor.

Battleground state polls released yesterday showed Obama leading in Colorado, Florida, Ohio, and Virginia. With these latest results, Rasmussen Reports has moved Florida from “Toss-Up” to “Leans Democratic.”

In Missouri and North Carolina, the race remains a toss-up while McCain leads by five in his home state of Arizona. Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-163. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 313-174.

Today’s other releases show McCain ahead in Arkansas and Mississippi while Obama has the advantage in Pennsylvania. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

 

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 700 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


Nevada Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/27/2008

46%

50%

45%

50%

47%

51%

49%

46%

45%

42%

40%

42%

45%

42%

46%

40%

48%

43%

41%

45%

38%

50%


Favorable Ratings For Presidential Candidates in Nevada

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

30%

41%

Somewhat Favorable

23%

10%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

11%

Very Unfavorable

25%

37%

Not Sure

2%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.