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Mississippi: McCain Still Leads Obama By Six

The topline numbers in the race between John McCain and Barack Obama in Mississippi remain unchanged over the past month. The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state since Hillary Clinton’s exit from the race finds McCain leading Obama 50% to 44%, just as he did in May.

While McCain has a solid 57% to 38% lead among men, Obama leads 49% to 44% among women. Obama also dominates among the youngest set of voters (age 18-29), 75% to 22%. McCain holds the advantage in voters of all other age groups.

McCain attracts 84% of Republican voters in Mississippi and 54% of voters who are not affiliated with either party. Obama’s support in the Magnolia State comes from 78% of Democrats and 33% of unaffiliated voters.

McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of voters and unfavorably by 37% of voters. Obama’s numbers are 48% favorable, 51% unfavorable.

Mississippi has cast its six Electoral College votes for the Republican candidate in the last seven Presidential elections. In 2004, President Bush easily won the state by a 59% to 40% margin. Rasmussen Markets data shows that McCain is given a % chance of winning the state this November. The state is classified as “Likely Republican” by the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

One-out-of-four voters (28%) in Mississippi think McCain is too old to be President, while half (51%) think Obama is too inexperienced.

A third (34%) of Mississippi voters think Hillary Clinton should become Barack Obama’s running mate, while 46% disagree. Voters in Mississippi are slightly more in favor of an Obama-Clinton ticket than voters nationwide.

Mississippi voters are divided when it comes to the next President and the War in Iraq. While half of voters (50%) think it is more important the troops are brought home sooner, nearly the same amount (46%) think winning the war should be top priority. Mississippi voters are slightly more divided on this question than voters nationwide.

Sixty-five percent (65%) of voters in Mississippi think drilling in offshore oil wells should be allowed in order to help reduce fuel prices. One in five voters (21%) disagree. Those results are similar to those found on the national level. Over half of voters (64%) think it is likely fuel prices will drop if offshore drilling is allowed, while a third of voters find this unlikely.

Two-thirds of Mississippi voters (66%) say the federal government has itself become a special interest group, while just 15% think the opposite. Only 14% believe the federal government today represents the will of the people, while 68% disagree. Those results are similar to those found nationally.

In Mississippi, 39% think President Bush is doing a good or excellent job, while 46% think he is doing a poor job as president. Those ratings are much more flattering than the national average. Still, in a state where the President won 59% of the vote four years ago, the fact that just 39% believe he is doing a good or an excellent job is a clear indicator of how well things are going for the Democrats in 2008.

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Mississippi Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

53%

53%

52%

Obama (D)

45%

43%

41%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 24, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Mississippi Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/27/2008

53%

45%

09/30/2008

52%

44%

08/21/2008

54%

41%

07/28/2008

52%

41%

06/24/2008

50%

44%

05/27/2008

50%

44%

Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Mississippi

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

38%

43%

Somewhat Favorable

20%

5%

Somewhat Unfavorable

10%

11%

Very Unfavorable

31%

40%

Not Sure

2%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Mississippi: Most Recent Video

About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.