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Mississippi: McCain 50% Obama 44%

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Mississippi shows John McCain leading Barack Obama 50% to 44% ( see video report).

The strong racial divide is highlighted by the fact that Obama earns 44% of the vote in a sample where 36% of the voters are African-American. Obama overwhelmingly wins the African-American vote. Obama also leads among voters under 40 while McCain wins most votes from those 40 and older. Women are essentially evenly divided between the two candidates, while McCain leads by eleven percentage points among men.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that McCain is given a % of winning Mississippi’s six Electoral College votes this November. George Bush won the state by twenty points four years ago and sixteen points in Election 2000. The current poll results are similar to Bob Dole’s margin of victory in 1996. No Democrat has won the state since Jimmy Carter in 1976. In 1968, George Wallace won 63% of the vote while running as an Independent. Mississippi is currently rated as “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

Mississippi is in the unusual position of having two U.S. Senate races this fall. Thad Cochran is doing okay in his bid for re-election but Roger Wicker’s race is very competitive.

Fifty percent (50%) of Mississippi voters say it is more important to get the troops home from Iraq than it is to win the War. Forty-five percent (45%) hold the opposite view and say winning the war is more important. Those figures are not too different from the national average. Only one state, Alabama, has a majority of voters who say winning the war is more important.

Fifty-three percent (53%) say that if John McCain is elected in November, it is at least somewhat likely the U.S. will win the War. Twenty-six percent (26%) say victory is likely with an Obama victory. On the other hand, 52% believe a President Obama would get his troops home within a year while 42% say the same would happen with McCain as President.

Four years ago, George W. Bush won 59% of the Mississippi vote. Today, just 42% of all voters statewide say that Bush is doing a good or excellent job as President. A virtually identical number, 41%, say he is now doing a poor job. Nationally, the President’s Job Approval ratings are near record lows.

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Mississippi Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

53%

53%

52%

Obama (D)

45%

43%

41%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports May 27, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Mississippi

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

38%

43%

Somewhat Favorable

20%

5%

Somewhat Unfavorable

10%

11%

Very Unfavorable

31%

40%

Not Sure

2%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Mississippi: Most Recent Video

About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.