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Election 2008: Mississippi Presidential Election
McCain Still Ahead by Eight in Mississippi

John McCain continues to lead Barack Obama by eight percentage points in Mississippi. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the Republican ahead 53% to 45%.

McCain held the same lead at the end of September. He held double-digit leads back in August and July, after two months of holding six-point advantages.

Mississippi has cast its six Electoral College votes for the Republican candidate in the last seven presidential elections. In 2004, President Bush easily won the state by a 59% to 40% margin.

McCain’s lead among unaffiliated voters in Mississippi has grown even larger this month: It's now 70% to 17%, compared to 55% to 34% in September. While men in the state steadily support the Republican, women continue to move more towards the Democrat.

McCain holds a dominant lead among white voters, while Obama earns the support of nearly all black voters in the state.

Voters in Mississippi think McCain will carry their state by a 67% to 28% margin.

McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of voters in Mississippi, down from 62% last month. He is viewed unfavorably by 41%, up from 35% in September. Obama’s ratings are 48% favorable, 51% unfavorable. His numbers are identical to those in the last poll.

Most voters in Mississippi believe elections are generally fair to voters, though 33% disagree. Still, 87% are at least somewhat confident their votes will be counted, compared to just 13% who are not confident.

Half of voters (50%) say it is more likely that people will vote illegally next Tuesday, but 37% say it is more likely that legally eligible individuals will be denied the right to cast their ballots. There is a sharp racial and partisan divide when it comes to this question. While the majority of Republicans and unaffiliated voters fear ineligible individuals will be granted a vote, most Democrats say the opposite. Most whites say it is more likely illegal voters will vote, but the overwhelming majority of blacks say legal voters will be turned away from the polls.

Mississippi voters trust McCain more than Obama on the economy by a 52% to 44% margin, and 46% disagree with Obama’s statement that it is better to spread the wealth around. However, 41% of voters agree with that view.

President Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 42% of voters in Mississippi, while 46% give his job performance a poor rating.

The latest poll of the special U.S. Senate race in the state finds appointed Senator Roger Wicker leading Ronny Musgrove by double-digits.

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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 27, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Mississippi Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/27/2008

53%

45%

52%

44%

54%

41%

52%

41%

50%

44%

50%

44%

Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Mississippi

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

38%

43%

Somewhat Favorable

20%

5%

Somewhat Unfavorable

10%

11%

Very Unfavorable

31%

40%

Not Sure

2%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Mississippi: Most Recent Video

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.