If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

Minnesota: Obama Leads by Twelve

Barack Obama leads John McCain 49% to 37% in Minnesota. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds that when “leaners” are included, Obama leads 52% to 39%.

Two weeks ago, Obama had a 52% to 34% lead in the North Star State. Last month, Obama led 52% to 39%.

Nationally, the race between Obama and McCain is much closer in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

In Minnesota this month, Obama leads 42% to 35% among voters not affiliated with either major party. Like in many states, the Democrat has a big lead among women (54% to 35%) but a marginal lead among men (44% to 40%). Obama leads among voters from every age group, but performs strongest among younger voters.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are currently given an % chance of winning Minnesota’s 10 Electoral College votes in November (results updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). Minnesota is historically a blue state, casting its votes for Democratic candidates in the last eight elections. In 2004, John Kerry narrowly won the state 51% to 48%. Minnesota is considered a “Likely Democratic” state in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

As in all states, a solid plurality of voters in Minnesota (43%) choose the economy as the top issue of Election 2008. Among those voters, Obama has a 63% to 24% advantage. McCain has the lead among voters who say national security issues are most important, 60% to 32%. However, just 17% of Minnesota voters see this as the top issue of the upcoming election.

When it comes to the War on Terror, 54% of voters in Minnesota think the United States and its allies are winning, as opposed to 21% who think the terrorists are winning. Those results are a bit higher than those found nationally. Most voters (59%) agree with Obama in that Iraq is not the “central front” of the War on Terror, while 39% think Afghanistan holds that spot. Half of voters (50%) say Afghanistan is a bigger threat than Iraq to the U.S..

Nationally, belief is growing that the media is trying to help Obama win. In Minnesota, 47% of voters agree. A third of voters (33%) think reporters provide unbiased coverage of the election and just 8% think reporters are trying to help McCain. Fifty-nine percent (59%) believe reporters try to help the candidate they want to win when covering political news. Regarding media coverage of the ailing economy, 41% of voters think the media makes the situation sound worse than it really is, while 28% believe it provides an accurate picture.

President George W. Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 27% of voters in Minnesota, while 55% say he is doing a poor job. Nationally, Bush job approval ratings remain at record lows.

The Senate race in Minnesota between Incumbent Norm Coleman and challenger Al Franken remains tight.

This survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations Inc.

Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free)… let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Minnesota
Likely Democratic

Latest
RR Poll

RR Poll
Avg.

"538"
Avg.

RR
Mkts.

In
Trade

McCain (R)

43%

43%

42%

Obama (D)

55%

54%

51%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports July 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Minnesota Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/28/2008

43%

55%

10/22/2008

41%

56%

10/07/2008

45%

52%

09/18/2008

44%

52%

08/13/2008

42%

46%

07/22/2008

37%

49%

07/10/2008

34%

52%

06/11/2008

39%

52%

05/22/2008

38%

53%

04/22/2008

38%

52%

03/19/2008

43%

47%

02/16/2008

38%

53%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Minnesota

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

28%

45%

Somewhat Favorable

26%

16%

Somewhat Unfavorable

25%

11%

Very Unfavorable

21%

27%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.