In four of the last five polls, Obama has enjoyed a 13 to 15 point lead. The one exception came in mid-March when McCain pulled to within four points of Obama. That poll was conducted two weeks after McCain wrapped up the GOP nomination and a few days after the first round of stories about Obama’s controversial former pastor, Jeremiah Wright.

Obama is supported by 86% of Democrats in the state and leads 50% to 32% among unaffiliated voters. McCain attracts 88% of Republicans.

While Obama has enjoyed a consistent lead in Minnesota, he has enjoyed a nice bounce nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll since wrapping up the Democratic Presidential Nomination.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are currently given an % chance of winning Minnesota in November (results updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). Minnesota has cast its Electoral College Votes for the Democratic candidate in eight straight elections dating back to 1976. That’s the longest streak in the nation, but the last couple of Democratic victories have been won with modest margins—three percentage points in Election 2004 and two points in Election 2000. Minnesota is considered a “Likely Democratic” state in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

Sixty percent (60%) of Minnesota voters have a favorable opinion of Obama while McCain is viewed favorably by 54%. For both men, those numbers reflect a slight improvement over the past month.

Thirty-five percent (35%) of Minnesota voters believe McCain is too old to be President while 41% say Obama is too inexperienced. Those figures are close to the national average.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) say it is more important to get the troops home from Iraq than it is to win the War. Thirty-five percent (35%) disagree and say victory is the higher priority. Those figures are a few points to the left of the nation average.

Sixty-six percent (66%) say that the federal government has become a special interest group, only 15% disagree. Only 14% believe the government today represents the will of the people. Those figures are close to the national average as well.

Just 30% of Minnesota voters say that George W. Bush is doing a good or excellent job as President. Nationally, the President’s Approval Ratings are at an all-time low. In Minnesota, 56% say Bush is doing a poor job.

Minnesota Senator Norm Coleman is one of several endangered incumbents in Election 2008. Minnesota’s Senate race looks to be very competitive.

This survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations Inc.

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