Barack Obama leads John McCain comfortably 53% to 41% in the reliably Democratic state of Maryland, according to Rasmussen Reports’ first telephone survey in the state since Hillary Clinton dropped out of the presidential race.
With “leaners” factored in, Obama leads his Republican opponent 53% to 43%.
In early January, the last time Rasmussen Reports surveyed state voters, Obama led McCain 48% to 42%. But against Hillary Clinton, McCain was the front-runner 45% to 43%. Obama crushed Clinton 60% to 37% in the February 12 Maryland Democratic Primary.
Eighty percent (80%) of Maryland Democrats and 10 percent of the state’s Republicans now support Obama. McCain has the backing of 86% of Republicans and 15% of Democrats. Undecided voters give McCain the edge 49% to 42%.
Sixty-one percent of Maryland voters have a favorable opinion of Obama, including 38% who rate their view of him as Very Favorable. He is viewed unfavorably by 39%, with a quarter (25%) saying their view of him is Very Unfavorable.
McCain is regarded favorably by 56%, with 24% Very Favorable. Forty-three percent (43%) view him unfavorably, but only 18% class their view as Very Unfavorable.
The Democratic presidential nominee has carried Maryland by substantial margins in the last four elections. Democratic nominee John Kerry defeated President Bush in 2004 by 13 percentage points.
Forty-seven percent (47%) say America has the best economy in the world, but nearly as many (43%) disagree. Nearly half (48%) also believe that reporters make the economy seem worse than it is.
Two-thirds of voters (67%) think political reporters try to help the candidate they want to win, and this year 45% say most are trying to help Obama. Thirty-two percent (32%) feel that reporters offer unbiased coverage, but only 11% think they are trying to help McCain.
Paralleling a growing national trend, 52% of Maryland voters say the United States and its allies are winning the war on terror, as opposed to 18% who say the terrorists are winning and 24% who think it’s a draw. Fifty-five percent (55%) believe that Iraq is not the central front in the war on terror, and 44% agree with Obama that Afghanistan is that front. Forty-six percent think Afghanistan is a greater threat to U.S. national security than Iraq, but 30% give Iraq the nod.
Governor Martin O’Malley, a Democrat, is given good or excellent marks for his job performance by 37%. Thirty-one percent (31%) rate his work as poor.
President Bush who receives record low marks nationwide for his job performance is rated good or excellent by 32% of Maryland voters. Fifty-one percent (51%) say he is doing a poor job.
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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 18, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
See Methodology.
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Maryland Trends: McCain vs. Obama |
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|---|---|---|
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Date |
McCain |
Obama |
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09/20/2008 |
37% |
60% |
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41% |
53% |
|
|
42% |
48% |
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Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary |
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|---|---|
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160 |
|
|
260 |
|
|
118 |
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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.