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Election 2008: Maryland Presidential Election
Maryland Heavily Favors Obama

Barack Obama is dominant in Maryland’s presidential race. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the Democrat ahead of John McCain by a 60% to 37% margin.

This is the biggest lead the Democrat has held in the state this year. Last month, Obama led 53% to 41%. Maryland has cast its ten electoral votes for Democratic candidates in the last four elections.

This month, Obama leads 57% to 38% among unaffiliated voters in the Old Line State. He also leads McCain 52% to 36% among men and 58% to 37% among women (demographic crosstabs are available for Premium Members). Learn More. .

Obama is viewed favorably by 67% of Maryland voters and unfavorably by 32%. McCain’s numbers are less flattering, with 48% who view him favorably and 51% who view him unfavorably.

Ratings for the candidates are similar to those of their running mates. Joe Biden is viewed favorably by 63% and unfavorably by 36%. Sarah Palin’s numbers are 41% favorable, 58% unfavorable.

Voters in Maryland believe Obama made the right choice by choosing Biden by a 49% to 30% margin. Meanwhile, voters do not agree with McCain’s choice of Palin by a 53% to 37% margin.

Just over a third of voters (35%) say Biden is politically moderate, while over half (59%) see Palin as very conservative.

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Seventy-two percent of voters (72%) in Maryland say they will vote with enthusiasm for their candidate on Election Day. That number includes 76% of Obama supporters and 67% of McCain supporters. A quarter (24%) say they will be voting primarily against the other candidate, a number that includes 27% of McCain supporters and 20% of Obama supporters.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Obama is currently given a % chance of winning Maryland’s 10 Electoral College votes in November. At the time this poll was released, Maryland is ranked as “Safely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

Other Presidential polling has been released this week for California, Florida, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Colorado, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling data are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

The Maryland survey also asked voters whether they favor or oppose a proposed constitutional amendment that would grant licenses to slot machines in order to build funding for education programs. Over half (54%) of voters say they are for the amendment, while 35% are opposed. Historically, undecided voters tend to vote against initiative proposals.

Governor Martin O’Malley, a Democrat, is given good or excellent marks for his job performance by 34%. Twenty-nine percent (29%) rate his work as poor.

President Bush, who receives record low marks nationwide for his job performance, is rated good or excellent by 26% of Maryland voters. Sixty percent (60%) say he is doing a poor job.

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The survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations, Inc.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

Maryland Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

37%

40%

39%

Obama (D)

60%

54%

55%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 20, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Maryland Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

09/20/2008

37%

60%

08/18/2008

41%

53%

01/03/2008

42%

48%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Maryland


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.