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Election 2008: Louisiana President
McCain Posts 57% to 41% Lead in Louisiana

John McCain remains far ahead of Barack Obama in Louisiana where he leads by 16 points -- 57% to 41% -- in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.

Last month, McCain was ahead 55% to 40%.

Nationally, Obama has enjoyed a modest lead over McCain every day for nearly a month in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

In Louisiana, McCain is supported by 87% of Republicans while Obama has backing from 75% of Democrats. Unaffiliated voters support the Republican by a wide margin.

Men give the edge to McCain by 22 points, women by 12. While 97% of African-Americans support Obama, 77% of whites back McCain (see full demographic crosstabs).

McCain is viewed favorably by 64% and unfavorably by 35%. Forty-five percent (45%) have a favorable opinion of the Democratic candidate, but 54% view him unfavorably.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of Louisiana voters believe McCain is the most likely to win in their state, while 29% say Obama will win.

Incumbent Democrat Mary Landrieu now leads Republican challenger John Kennedy 53% to 43% in Louisiana’s U.S. Senate race.

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters in the state say the economy is the most important issue in the election. Unlike much of the country, voters in Louisiana trust McCain more on the economy than Obama -- by 17 points. Forty-seven percent (47%) also disagree with Obama’s belief that when the government spreads wealth around, it’s good for everybody. But 40% agree with that idea.

For 26% of voters, national security is the most important electoral issue. Voters trust McCain even more in this area, 60% to 37%.

Forty-eight percent (48%) believe elections are fair to voters, but 31% disagree. Nearly nine-out-of-10 voters (88%) are at least somewhat confident that their votes will be counted, with 56% Very confident of that fact. Just two percent (2%) are not at all confident.

Ninety-two percent (92%) of Louisiana voters also say a would-be voter should be required to show photo identification before being allowed to cast his or her ballot. Forty-seven percent (47%) think people are more likely to vote illegally on Election Day than for legal voters to be denied the right to vote. Twenty-eight percent (28%) think it is more likely that those who are eligible to vote will be denied the chance to do so.

New presidential polling data also has been released this week from Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington and West Virginia. See an overview of all state polls and the latest Electoral College projections. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House (see 50-State Summary).

Forty-three percent (43%) of Louisiana voters say President Bush is doing a good or excellent job, while 39% rate his performance as poor. In nearly all other states, those giving the president poor marks far outnumber those who give him good or excellent ratings.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 21, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Louisiana

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

40%

35%

Somewhat Favorable

24%

10%

Somewhat Unfavorable

16%

11%

Very Unfavorable

19%

43%

Not Sure

2%

2%


Louisiana Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/21/2008

57%

41%

55%

40%

55%

38%

54%

34%

50%

41%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.