If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

Election 2008: Kentucky Presidential Election
McCain Expands Lead in Kentucky

John McCain has jumped to a 12-point lead over Barack Obama in Kentucky, his best showing in the state since June. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Kentucky finds the Republican leading 55% to 43%.

McCain led his opponent by eight percentage points just one week ago, after leading by 10 in the two previous polls.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that McCain is given a % chance of winning Kentucky in November. The state is classified as “Safely Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

Nationally, Obama has held a steady lead over McCain all month in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

A significant shift over the past week came among unaffiliated voters in Kentucky, who favored Obama last week by a 56% to 40% margin. The latest poll finds unaffiliated voters in the state now choose McCain, 58% to 37%. Last week, McCain led by just four points among men in Kentucky. He now leads 58% to 39% among men and 52% to 47% among women.

White voters favor McCain over Obama by a 59% to 40% margin, while black voters overwhelmingly back Obama, 90% to 10%.

McCain’s favorable ratings went up from 59% a week ago to 64%. He is viewed unfavorably by 35%, down from 38% last week. Obama’s ratings are 45% favorable, down from 52% last week, and unfavorably by 54%, up from 47%.

On the top issue of the economy, Kentucky voters trust McCain more than Obama by 11 points. Unaffiliated voters in the state trust the Republican even more, 55% to 37%. Voters also give McCain the edge on national security by 22 points.

Incumbent Republican Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader, continues to hold a stable lead over Democratic challenger Bruce Lunsford in the state’s U.S. Senate race. LINK

President Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 37% of Kentucky voters, while 45% rate his performance as poor.

Battleground state polls released Monday showed Obama leading in Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Virginia. With these latest results, Rasmussen Reports has moved Florida from “Toss-Up” to “Leans Democratic.”

In Missouri and North Carolina, the race remains a toss-up while McCain leads by five in his home state of Arizona. Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-160. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 313-160.

Other new polls show McCain ahead in Alaska, Arkansas, Indiana, Montana and Mississippi while Obama has the advantage in New Mexico, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

Recent statewide presidential polls have been released for Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Hawaii, Kentucky, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia and Washington. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Kentucky Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

55%

53%

54%

Obama (D)

43%

43%

40%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Kentucky Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/29/2008

55%

43%

10/21/2008

52%

44%

09/30/2008

52%

42%

07/29/2008

49%

39%

06/25/2008

51%

35%

05/22/2008

57%

32%

Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Kentucky

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

41%

33%

Somewhat Favorable

23%

12%

Somewhat Unfavorable

15%

13%

Very Unfavorable

20%

41%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.