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Election 2008: Kentucky Presidential Election
McCain Expands Lead in Kentucky

John McCain has jumped to a 12-point lead over Barack Obama in Kentucky, his best showing in the state since June. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Kentucky finds the Republican leading 55% to 43%.

McCain led his opponent by eight percentage points just one week ago, after leading by 10 in the two previous polls.

Nationally, Obama has held a steady lead over McCain all month in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

A significant shift over the past week came among unaffiliated voters in Kentucky, who favored Obama last week by a 56% to 40% margin. The latest poll finds unaffiliated voters in the state now choose McCain, 58% to 37%. Last week, McCain led by just four points among men in Kentucky. He now leads 58% to 39% among men and 52% to 47% among women.

White voters favor McCain over Obama by a 59% to 40% margin, while black voters overwhelmingly back Obama, 90% to 10%.

McCain’s favorable ratings went up from 59% a week ago to 64%. He is viewed unfavorably by 35%, down from 38% last week. Obama’s ratings are 45% favorable, down from 52% last week, and unfavorably by 54%, up from 47%.

On the top issue of the economy, Kentucky voters trust McCain more than Obama by 11 points. Unaffiliated voters in the state trust the Republican even more, 55% to 37%. Voters also give McCain the edge on national security by 22 points.

Incumbent Republican Mitch McConnell, the Senate minority leader, continues to hold a stable lead over Democratic challenger Bruce Lunsford in the state’s U.S. Senate race. LINK

President Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 37% of Kentucky voters, while 45% rate his performance as poor.

Battleground state polls released Monday showed Obama leading in Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Virginia. With these latest results, Rasmussen Reports has moved Florida from “Toss-Up” to “Leans Democratic.”

In Missouri and North Carolina, the race remains a toss-up while McCain leads by five in his home state of Arizona. Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-160. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 313-160.

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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports October 29, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.


Kentucky Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/29/2008

55%

43%

52%

44%

52%

42%

49%

39%

51%

35%

57%

32%

Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Kentucky

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

41%

33%

Somewhat Favorable

23%

12%

Somewhat Unfavorable

15%

13%

Very Unfavorable

20%

41%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.