Indiana is one of the most reliably Republican states in the nation, but John McCain currently holds a statistically insignificant two-point advantage over the Barack Obama among Hoosiers.
The latest first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state shows McCain attracting 49% of the vote while Obama earns 47% (crosstabs available for Premium Members). A month ago, McCain enjoyed a slightly larger advantage.
Parts of northwestern Indiana are effectively suburbs of Chicago, Obama’s home base. During the Indiana Primary, strong turnout in this region almost enabled Obama to pull off an upset victory. Four years ago, John Kerry racked up a 23-percentage point margin over George Bush in Lake County, the state’s most northwestern county. Strong turnout in that region could have an impact on the fall election as well.
McCain is viewed favorably by 61% of Indiana voters, down four points from a month ago.
Obama earns positive reviews from 54%, up two points.
Rasmussen Reports has released polls on the presidential race this week for Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Virginia, Wisconsin, Utah and Delaware. Additional state poll results will be released throughout the weekend and first thing Monday morning. Next week, RasmussenReports.com will also released state polls Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern and Tuesday-Friday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll is released each morning at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. Other polling is released at 7:00 a.m., Noon, and 3:00 p.m. Eastern weekdays along with other updates as needed. Premium Members can review full demographic crosstabs for all state polls and get the first look at all Rasmussen Reports polling data. Learn More .
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This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 17-18, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
See Methodology.
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Indiana Trends: McCain vs. Obama |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Date |
McCain |
Obama |
|
10/29/2008 |
49% |
46% |
|
50% |
43% |
|
|
49% |
47% |
|
|
46% |
42% |
|
|
Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Indiana |
||
|---|---|---|
|
McCain |
Obama |
|
|
Very Favorable |
26% |
37% |
|
Somewhat Favorable |
31% |
12% |
|
Somewhat Unfavorable |
17% |
14% |
|
Very Unfavorable |
23% |
34% |
|
Not Sure |
2% |
3% |
|
Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary |
|
|---|---|
|
160 |
|
|
260 |
|
|
118 |
|
Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
