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Election 2008: Illinois Presidential Election
Illinois: Obama 60% McCain 38%

Barack Obama continues to hold a solid lead over John McCain in his home state of Illinois. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Obama on top 60% to 38%.

Those figures are little changed from the Democrat’s 56% to 39% lead a month ago and his 56% to 40% lead two months ago.

Nationally, the Democrat has held a steady lead over McCain for more than a month in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and in Electoral College projections.

Obama is supported by 95% of Illinois Democrats and holds a 28-point advantage among unaffiliated voters. McCain gets the vote from 91% of Illinois Republicans (see crosstabs).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Obama is viewed favorably by 63% of Illinois voters, McCain by 49%.

While the junior Senator and Presidential hopeful gets rave reviews in his home state, Democratic Governor Rod Blagojevich does not. Just 8% of Illinois voters say the Governor is doing a good or an excellent job. Sixty-seven percent (67%) say he is doing a poor job.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Obama is currently given a % chance of winning Illinois’ 21 Electoral College votes this fall. Not only is the Democratic presidential nominee a longtime Illinois resident but the state is one of the most reliably Democratic in the Midwest. Illinois has gone for the party’s presidential candidate in the last four elections, including John Kerry who carried it by 10 points in 2004.

At the time this poll was released, Illinois is ranked as “Safely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings.

This survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations Inc.

Battleground state polls released Monday showed Obama leading in Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Virginia.

In Missouri and North Carolina, the race remains a toss-up while McCain leads by five in his home state of Arizona. Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-160. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 313-160.

Other new polls show McCain ahead in Alaska, Arkansas, Georgia, Indiana, Montana and Mississippi while Obama has the advantage in New Mexico and Pennsylvania. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

 

Recent statewide Presidential polls have been released for Alaska, Arkansas, Arizona, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia and Wisconsin.

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See survey questions and topline results. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Illinois Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

38%

39%

36%

Obama (D)

60%

57%

57%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Illinois Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/01/2008

38%

60%

10/13/2008

39%

56%

09/17/2008

40%

56%

08/14/2008

38%

53%

07/08/2008

37%

50%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Illinois

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

27%

52%

Somewhat Favorable

22%

11%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

11%

Very Unfavorable

28%

24%

Not Sure

2%

2%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.