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Election 2008: Idaho Presidential Election
McCain Pummels Obama in Idaho 68% to 29%

Don’t expect to see Barack Obama spending much time in the Republican stronghold of Idaho this fall. The Democratic presidential nominee trails John McCain by a staggering 68% to 29% in the first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Idaho voters.

McCain has the support of 96% of the state’s Republicans and 18% of Democrats. Obama is backed by 77% of Idaho Democrats and three percent (3%) of GOP voters. Unaffiliated voters give McCain the edge by a whopping 63% to 30%.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) have a Very Favorable opinion of the Republican nominee, while 43% have a Very Unfavorable view of Obama.

Those feelings extend toward the vice presidential candidates as well. Not only do 65% of Idaho voters think McCain’s choice of Sarah Palin was the right one, but 57% have a Very Favorable view of the Alaska governor. Fifteen percent (15%) see Palin in a Very Unfavorable light.

By contrast, only 28% think Obama made the right choice in picking Delaware Senator Joseph Biden as his running mate. While 18% say their opinion of Biden is Very Favorable, nearly twice as many (33%) say they have a Very Unfavorable view of him.

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Eighty percent (80%) believe Palin is at least somewhat conservative, including 48% who say she is Very Conservative. Fifty-seven percent (57%) believe Biden is at least somewhat liberal, with 31% saying he is Very Liberal. Twenty-three percent (23%) think Biden is a moderate.

Idaho has been won by the GOP presidential candidate in every election since 1964, when Lyndon B. Johnson barely carried the state over Barry Goldwater. President Bush won Idaho in 2004 by 38 percentage points.

Rasmussen Markets data currently gives the GOP a % chance of winning Idaho’s four Electoral College votes. The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator lists Idaho as “Safely Republican.” NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article. Nationally, Obama and McCain are essentially even in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

In the state’s U.S. Senate race, Jim Risch, Idaho’s current Republican lieutenant governor, leads Larry LaRocco, a former Democratic congressman, 58% to 30%.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Idaho voters say economic issues are paramount this election year, but for 22% national security is the number one concern.

Sixty-four percent (64%) say they will be voting with enthusiasm for the presidential candidate of their choice, but 29% will be voting primarily against the other candidate. Interestingly, Democrats by a slight margin – 72% to 68% -- will be voting more enthusiastically for Obama than Republicans for McCain. Thirty-one percent (31%) of Idaho Republicans will be voting primarily against Obama, while 24% of Democrats are voting against McCain.

While Idaho went overwhelmingly for Bush in 2004, one-third of the state’s voters (33%) now regard his job performance as poor. But 49% say he is doing a good or excellent job, which is higher than perhaps any other state.

Rasmussen Reports has released polls on the presidential race this week for Alaska, Montana, Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, New Mexico and North Dakota. Today results are being released for Michigan and Wyoming.

Additional state poll results will be released at RasmussenReports.com each Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern and Tuesday-Friday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern. Premium Members can get an advance look at the results.

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Idaho Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

68%

68%

64%

Obama (D)

29%

29%

30%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 9, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Favorable Ratings For Presidential Candidates in Idaho

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

37%

22%

Somewhat Favorable

36%

16%

Somewhat Unfavorable

15%

19%

Very Unfavorable

11%

43%

Not Sure

1%

0%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.