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Election 2008: Hawaii Presidential Election
Hawaii: Obama Dominates His Native State

Barack Obama is drawing big support in the state where he was born 47 years ago. The first Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Hawaii shows Obama leading John McCain 68% to 27%.

The Democratic nominee leads 71% to 26% among unaffiliated voters in the state. He’s also ahead by over 30 points among both men and women.

Rasmussen Markets data gives the Democrats a % chance of carrying Hawaii in November. Hawaii has cast its four electoral college votes for the Democratic presidential candidate in eight of the last 10 elections.

Obama is viewed favorably by an overwhelming 74% of voters, while just 25% view him unfavorably. McCain is viewed favorably by just 36%, while 59% view him unfavorably.

As for the running mates, 62% of voters in Hawaii have a favorable view of Joseph Biden, while 30% have an unfavorable view of him. For Sarah Palin, the numbers are 37% favorable, 59% unfavorable.

Voters in Hawaii think Obama made the right choice when he picked Biden as his running mate by a 44% to 26% margin. The opposite is true for Palin: 48% say she was not the right choice for McCain, while 38% say she was.

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Hawaii voters say they see Biden as politically moderate, while 48% see Palin as very conservative.

In Hawaii, 69% of voters say they will be voting with enthusiasm for their candidate. That includes 62% of McCain supporters and 75% of Obama supporters. Nineteen percent (19%) say they will be voting primarily against the opposing candidate, which includes 24% of McCain voters and 17% of Obama supporters.

President George W. Bush earns good or excellent ratings from just 24% of voters in Hawaii, while 59% say he is doing a poor job.

Governor Linda Lingle, a Republican, earns good or excellent ratings from 52% of voters, with just 17% saying that she is doing a poor job.

Rasmussen Reports and Fox News Channel jointly released a series of battleground state polls Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern. See overview of all polling released this week with results from Virginia, Florida, Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Additional state poll results will be released at RasmussenReports.com each Monday at 6:00 p.m. Eastern and Tuesday-Friday at 5:00 p.m. Eastern.

Nationally, the race between Obama and McCain is very close in the Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll which is updated every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

Hawaii Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

27%

27%

29%

Obama (D)

68%

68%

66%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 20, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Hawaii

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

18%

49%

Somewhat Favorable

18%

25%

Somewhat Unfavorable

29%

9%

Very Unfavorable

30%

16%

Not Sure

4%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.