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Election 2008: Georgia Presidential Election
McCain Still Ahead by Five in Georgia

John McCain leads Barack Obama by five percentage points in Georgia for the second straight poll. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state has McCain ahead 52% to 47%.

Support for both candidates is up one point from a poll conducted last week. Prior to that time, McCain held solid leads over the Democrat since the start of the campaign season. Though McCain’s lead has weakened in the state this month, this is still the fifth straight poll the Republican has received at least 50% support.

Voters in Georgia continue to trust McCain more than Obama on the economy, 52% to 45%. However, unaffiliated voters trust the Democrat slightly more by a 47% to 45% margin. McCain also holds a solid advantage on national security issues.

McCain’s favorability ratings have remained stable over the past week. He is viewed favorably by 57% and unfavorably by 43%. Obama’s ratings are 50% favorable, 49% unfavorable. That’s a slight improvement for the Democrat, who was viewed favorably by 48% in the previous poll.

In the latest poll, Obama now leads 53% to 44% among unaffiliated voters in the state. Last week, McCain led those voters by an identical margin. McCain leads 73% to 26% among white voters in Georgia while Obama earns overwhelming support from black voters. While men favor McCain 55% to 45%, women are split between the candidates at 49% each (see crosstabs).

Georgia also features a surprisingly competitive Senate race where Saxby Chambliss is trying to win a second term.

President Bush earns good or excellent ratings from 37% of voters in Georgia, while 44% give his job performance a poor rating.

Battleground state polls released Monday showed Obama leading in Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Virginia. With these latest results, Rasmussen Reports has moved Florida from “Toss-Up” to “Leans Democratic.”

In Missouri and North Carolina, the race remains a toss-up while McCain leads by five in his home state of Arizona. Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-163. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 313-174.

Other new polls show McCain ahead in Alaska, Arkansas, Indiana, Montana and Mississippi while Obama has the advantage in New Mexico, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

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See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on October 30, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Georgia Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/30/2008

52%

47%

51%

46%

54%

45%

54%

43%

50%

43%

48%

39%

53%

43%

51%

41%

53%

39%

53%

40%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Georgia

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

41%

42%

Somewhat Favorable

16%

8%

Somewhat Unfavorable

17%

10%

Very Unfavorable

26%

39%

Not Sure

0%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.