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Connecticut: Obama 47% McCain 44%

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Connecticut finds Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. Given that choice, 4% would opt for “some other candidate” while 5% are not sure.

In early March, Obama led McCain by twelve percentage points. However, that poll was conducted before Obama’s controversial former pastor, Jeremiah Wright, became part of the campaign dialogue. Currently, Obama is viewed favorably by 57% of Connecticut voters. That rating is down ten percentage points since March.

McCain is viewed favorably by 54%, down four points from the previous survey.

In Connecticut, Obama leads among voters under 50 while McCain has the edge among older voters. McCain is supported by 77% of Republicans and has a five-point advantage over Obama among unaffiliated voters. Obama leads 67% to 21% among Democrats. Twelve percent (12%) of Democrats say they would vote for a third-candidate or are currently undecided.

McCain leads among voters who earn $40,000 to $75,000 annually. Obama leads among those who earn less than $40,000 a year and among those who earn more than $75,000.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are currently given a % chance of winning Connecticut’s seven Electoral College votes. Democrats have won the state in four consecutive elections, the last three by double digits. Prior to that, the state voted for the GOP in five straight elections from 1972 to 1988. With release of this poll, Connecticut shifts from “Safely Democratic” to “Likely Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power calculator.

Just 25% of Connecticut voters say that George W. Bush is doing a good or an excellent job as President. Most—55%--say he is doing a poor job.

The reviews for Republican Governor Jodi Rell are much more positive. Fifty-five percent (55%) say she is doing a good or excellent job. Just 13% say she is doing a poor job. Rell has been mentioned by some as a potential Vice-Presidential running mate for John McCain.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Connecticut voters say it is more important to get the troops home from Iraq than to win the war. Thirty-two percent (32%) disagree and say that victory is more important.

If McCain is elected, 45% say it is at least somewhat likely that the U.S. will win the War. Just 20% say victory is that likely if Obama is elected. However, 60% believe that a President Obama is at least somewhat likely to get the troops home within four years. Only 39% believe a President McCain is likely to accomplish that goal.

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Connecticut Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

38%

39%

38%

Obama (D)

54%

53%

53%

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports May 29, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology


Connecticut Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

10/14/2008

39%

56%

09/16/2008

41%

53%

07/31/2008

36%

51%

06/30/2008

35%

52%

05/29/2008

44%

47%

03/11/2008

38%

50%

Connecticut Trends: McCain vs. Clinton

Date

McCain

Clinton

05/29/2008

42%

48%

03/11/2008

44%

47%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Connecticut

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

22%

42%

Somewhat Favorable

31%

21%

Somewhat Unfavorable

23%

13%

Very Unfavorable

24%

22%

Not Sure

0%

2%


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.