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Election 2008: Colorado Presidential Election
Obama Holds Four-Point Lead in Colorado

Barack Obama leads John McCain by four percentage points in Colorado for the second straight week. The last Fox News/Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state before Election Day finds Obama ahead 51% to 47%.

Last week’s Fox/Rasmussen poll found Obama leading 50% to 46%. The Democrat has received 50% support or higher in each of the last five polls conducted in the Centennial State and has led by four to six points in each of them.

Just one percent of voters in Colorado remain undecided. While 93% of voters say they are now certain of their vote the day before the election, seven percent (7%) say there is still a chance they could change their minds.

Nationally, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll has shown Obama with support from 50% to 52% of voters every single day for 39 consecutive days.

Obama now leads his opponent 56% to 39% among unaffiliated voters in Colorado. His lead among those voters is up three points from last week’s poll. He also has passed McCain among men, 50% to 48%. Last week, McCain led by five points among men. As in much of the country, Obama continues to hold a solid lead among women in Colorado.

McCain still leads 51% to 48% among white voters in Colorado, while Obama has a 70% to 22% among all other voters in the state.

A third of Colorado voters (34%) say the ability to bring needed change is the top quality in a candidate this year, while 25% name personal values. Twenty-one percent (21%) say a candidate must care about the common voter, while just 12% name experience as the top draw. While Democrats place great importance on a candidate’s ability to bring about change, Republicans are more concerned with personal values and compassion for people like them. Unaffiliated voters place the most emphasis on change.

Most voters in Colorado (66%) say it is likely they will partake in exit polls, while 32% say the opposite. However, it is worth noting that Democrats are far more likely to partake in exit polls than Republicans or unaffiliated voters. While 74% of Obama supporters say they will most likely answer an exit poll, just 59% of McCain voters say the same.

McCain is viewed favorably by 57% of voters in Colorado, while 41% view him unfavorably. Obama’s ratings are 54% favorable, 45% unfavorable.

Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama a % chance of carrying Colorado on Election Day. At the time this poll was released, Colorado is rated “Leans Democrat” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings.

Voters in Colorado trust McCain more overall by a 48% to 47% margin. However, on the top issue of the economy, voters trust Obama 50% to 47%. When it comes to national security, voters choose McCain 51% to 46%.

If faced with life’s toughest decision, 48% of Colorado voters would turn to McCain for advice, while 45% would ask Obama.

Rasmussen Reports and Fox News Channel also have released several other battleground state polls today, including final numbers from Florida, Ohio, Missouri, North Carolina and Virginia. Along with Colorado, all of these states went Republican in 2004, and without winning all six, McCain will have great difficulty capturing the White House. Rasmussen Reports today also released final results from New Jersey.

Electoral College projections now show Obama leading 260-160. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 286-160. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House (Predict how many Electoral College votes Obama will win this year).

 

Recent statewide Presidential polls have been released for Alaska, Arkansas, Arizona, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey , New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia and Wisconsin. Demographic crosstabs for all state polling are available for Premium Members. Learn More.

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Colorado Leans Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

47%

46%

44%

Obama (D)

51%

51%

50%

This telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports November 2, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.


Colorado Trends: McCain vs. Obama

Date

McCain

Obama

11/02/2008

47%

51%

10/26/2008

46%

50%

10/19/2008

46%

51%

10/16/2008

45%

52%

10/05/2008

45%

51%

09/28/2008

48%

49%

09/23/2008

47%

50%

09/14/2008

48%

46%

09/07/2008

46%

49%

08/13/2008

47%

45%

07/21/2008

42%

49%

06/17/2008

41%

43%

05/19/2008

42%

48%

04/16/2008

43%

46%

03/17/2008

46%

46%

02/11/2008

39%

46%


Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Colorado

 

McCain

Obama

Very Favorable

36%

43%

Somewhat Favorable

21%

11%

Somewhat Unfavorable

20%

10%

Very Unfavorable

21%

35%

Not Sure

1%

1%


Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary

Republicans

160

Democrats

173

Toss-Ups & Leaners

205


About Rasmussen Reports

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.