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Election 2008: Alabama Presidential Election
McCain Ahead by 21 Points in Alabama

John McCain now leads Barack Obama 60% to 39% in Alabama, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.

A month ago the Republican was ahead 55% to 37%. The race has never been closer than 15 points since polling began in April.

Ninety-four percent (94%) of Republicans and 11% of Democrats support McCain, while 85% of Democrats and six percent (6%) of GOP voters back Obama. Unaffiliated voters favor McCain by a whopping 70% to 28% margin (crosstabs available for Premium Members).

Part of the Democratic national strategy is to aggressively encourage turnout by African-American voters in the South because of Obama’s historic role as the first black presidential candidate of a major political party. Ninety-eight percent (98%) of black voters in Alabama support Obama, while 81% of whites favor McCain.

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Alabama voters say they will be voting with enthusiasm for their candidate, while 20% will be voting against the other candidate. Eighty-four percent (84%) of African-American voters say they will be voting enthusiastically for their candidate, compared to 70% of whites. One-quarter (25%) of white voters say they will be voting against the other candidate, as will eight percent (8%) of black voters.

Sixty-seven percent (67%) view McCain favorably and 33% regard him unfavorably. For Obama, it’s 43% favorable and 55% unfavorable.

Alabama has cast its nine Electoral College votes for the Republican candidate in eight of the last nine elections. George W. Bush carried the state by 14 points in 2000 and 25 points in 2004.

Fifty-seven percent (57%) of Alabama voters think McCain made the right choice when he picked Sarah Palin as his running mate, and she is regarded favorably by 62%. She is viewed unfavorably by 33%.

Alabama voters are evenly divided over whether Obama made a good choice in Joseph Biden, who is viewed favorably by 39%. Fifty-two percent (52%) have an unfavorable opinion of Biden.

Three out of four (76%) say Palin is a conservative, including 47% who say she is Very Conservative. Fifty percent (50%) think Biden is a liberal, and 24% say he’s Very Liberal.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that McCain is currently given a % chance of carrying Alabama in November. At the time this poll was released, Alabama is listed as “Safe Republican” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.

Nationally, the candidates remain very competitive in the Daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

For 47% of Alabama voters, economic issues are the most important concern of the presidential campaign, but 27% say national security is more important.

Forty-three percent (43%) say President Bush is doing a good or excellent job, while 40% rate his performance as poor. In a majority of states, Bush’s poor grades are much higher than his positive ones.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports September 22, 2008. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See Methodology.

Alabama Trends: McCain vs. Obama















Favorable Ratings for Presidential Candidates in Alabama




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Rasmussen Reports - Electoral College Balance of Power Summary





Toss-Ups & Leaners


Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.