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Friday, September 26, 2014

What America Thinks: Election Update – Week of 9/26/14

Thirty-six U.S. Senate seats are on the ballot this November. Twenty-one of them are held by Democrats and 15 by Republicans. The GOP needs a net gain of six seats to take control of the Senate, and races in Alaska and Michigan are moving the Republicans' way this week. A third crucial race - in Iowa - remains a Toss-Up.

In Rasmussen Reports polling this week, Michigan is back to a neck-in-neck showdown as the Republican pulls ahead to a two-point lead. Democratic Congressman Gary Peters now earns 41% of the vote to Republican Terri Lynn Land's 39%. This race shifts from Leans Democrat back to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

The Iowa Senate race also remains a dead heat, with Republican Joni Ernst and Democrat Bruce Braley still tied at 43% apiece. This race, too, is a Toss-Up on the Balance of Power rankings.

In Alaska’s Senate race, another crucial Republican pickup, Republican challenger Dan Sullivan has edged further ahead of incumbent Democrat Mark Begich, 48% to 43%. Among voters who are certain to vote on Election Day, Sullivan leads by eight points – 50% to 42%. Alaska moves from a Toss-Up to Leans Republican in our Balance of Power rankings.

Thirty-six governorships are at stake this November, as well.

The governor’s race in Alaska is also a five-point race, with Independent Bill Walker leading Incumbent Republican Sean Parnell 47% to 42%. This race now moves from Safe Republican to Leans Independent on the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

Iowa Governor Terry Branstad is still ahead in his bid for reelection, but his lead over Democratic challenger Jack Hatch has dwindled to just six points—46% to 40%. Iowa shifts from Safe Republican to Leans Republican on the Gubernatorial Scorecard.

At week’s end, the Rasmussen Senate Balance of Power Rankings show 15 races Safe Republican and eight Safe Democrat. Three lean Republican, three lean Democrat and one leans Independent. Five races are Toss-Ups.

For Rasmussen Reports, I’m Alex Boyer. Remember, if it’s in the news, it’s in our polls.