In the state of California, a Rasmussen Reports survey finds that Massachusetts Senator John F. Kerry leads President George W. Bush by eleven points, 51% to 40%. That spread matches the 11 point margin of victory earned by Al Gore four years ago.
Many people have written recently with various forms of the same message: "National polls don't matter in the Presidential Race. As we learned four years ago, the only thing that counts is the Electoral College."
Four years ago, George W. Bush won New Hampshire's four Electoral Votes by a single percentage point (48% to 47%). In Election 2004, it may be that close again.
In New Jersey, Senator John F. Kerry leads President George W. Bush 51% to 39%. Four years ago, Bush lost the state by sixteen points to Al Gore, 56% to 40%.
When it comes to issues of national defense and the War on Terror, Garden State voters are evenly divided as to who would do a better job--45% say Bush and another 45% say Kerry. Nationally, Bush has a significant edge on this issue.
New Jersey Governor Jim McGreevey trails Bret Schundler 46% to 39% in the latest Rasmussen Reports poll. Three years ago, in the 2001 election, McGreevey trounced Schundler by 14 percentage points. The New Jersey Governor's race will be held in November 2005.
Sometimes it is important to pull back from the day-to-day numbers and take a look at the history of Presidential Elections. When you compare the parties over the past 100 years or so, it becomes clear that Republicans and Democrats typically win the Presidency in different ways.
In West Virginia, President Bush leads John Kerry by five percentage points, 46% to 41%. Four years ago, Bush won the state by six points over Al Gore, 52% to 46%.
In Colorado, President Bush leads John Kerry by just five percentage points, 49% to 44%. Four years ago, Bush won Colorado by nine points over Al Gore, 51% to 42%.
Pete Coors is a political newcomer, but he's already competitive in the race for Colorado's U.S. Senate seat. A day after announcing his entry into the race, Coors trails Attorney General Ken Salazar by just six percentage points, 47% to 41%.
In the state of Florida, the race to replace retiring Senator Bob Graham is a toss-up. While the party nominees have not been selected, match-ups among some leading candidates show this seat is up for grabs in Election 2004.
In the state of Florida, the race for President is a toss-up. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Massachusetts Senator John F. Kerry attracting 47% of the vote in the Sunshine State and President George W. Bush earning 46%.
Florida voters like outgoing Senator Bob Graham more than other leading political figures in the state of Florida. Graham is viewed favorably by 59% of Florida voters and unfavorably by just 33%.
Over the past couple of weeks, many people have asked why we're not including Ralph Nader by name in our tracking poll (we do include "some other candidate").
Forty-six percent (46%) of American voters believe that George W. Bush has told the truth about his service in the National Guard.
In South Dakota, incumbent Senator Tom Daschle holds a narrow 3-point lead over challenger John Thune. A Rasmussen Reports survey shows that if the election were held today, 48% of South Dakota's likely voters would vote to re-elect the Senate Minority Leader while 45% would prefer Thune.
The latest Rasmussen Reports surveys show that former Vice-President Al Gore's endorsement has helped Howard Dean widen his lead over his Democratic challengers.
If the race for Congress were held today, 42% of Americans say they would vote for a Democratic candidate while 38% would vote for a Republican.
