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Election 2010: Minnesota Governor

Minnesota Governor: Dayton (D), Emmer (R) Still Run Close

The race to be Minnesota's next governor remains a close one with Republican Tom Emmer running neck-and-neck with Democrat Mark Dayton, while support for Independence Party candidate Tom Horner appears to be fading.  

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Dayton still barely ahead, with 44% support to Emmer's 41%. Horner now picks up 10% of the vote.  One percent (1%) favors another candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Earlier this month, Dayton held a 40% to 38% lead over Emmer, with Horner receiving 15% support.  In surveys taken since late May, the lead has gone back-and-forth between the two major party candidates, with support for Emmer ranging from 36% to 42% and backing for Dayton in the 35% to 45% range. Horner has captured nine percent (9%) to 15% support in those same surveys.

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Minnesota was conducted on October 20, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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