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Another Great Depression? Many Think It’s Likely

Most Americans don’t expect the stock market to rise in the next year, and more than half worry that the U.S. could face another Great Depression.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that just 27% of American Adults believe the stock market will be higher a year from now, while 31% expect the stock market to be lower in a year. Twenty-four percent (24%) think the stock market will be about the same in a year, while 18% are not sure. These findings are a slight improvement from September, when 26% expected the stock market to be higher in a year and 36% thought it would be lower. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 U.S. American Adults was conducted on February 27-28, 2022 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.

We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

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