|
|
Alabama Safe Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
55%
|
55%
|
59%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
37%
|
37%
|
35%
|
|
|
Alaska Safe Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
57%
|
59%
|
56%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
41%
|
38%
|
38%
|
|
|
Arizona Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
51%
|
54%
|
52%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
46%
|
40%
|
39%
|
|
|
Arkansas Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
54%
|
51%
|
51%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
44%
|
41%
|
39%
|
|
|
California Safe Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
34%
|
38%
|
37%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
61%
|
58%
|
55%
|
|
|
Colorado Leans Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
47%
|
46%
|
44%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
51%
|
51%
|
50%
|
|
|
Connecticut Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
38%
|
39%
|
38%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
54%
|
53%
|
53%
|
|
|
Delaware Safe Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
41%
|
42%
|
39%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
56%
|
55%
|
56%
|
|
|
Florida Toss-Up
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
50%
|
49%
|
46%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
49%
|
49%
|
48%
|
|
|
Georgia Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
52%
|
52%
|
51%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
47%
|
46%
|
44%
|
|
|
Hawaii Safe Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
27%
|
27%
|
29%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
68%
|
68%
|
66%
|
|
|
Idaho Safe Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
68%
|
68%
|
64%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
29%
|
29%
|
30%
|
|
|
Illinois Safe Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
38%
|
39%
|
36%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
60%
|
57%
|
57%
|
|
|
Indiana Toss-Up
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
49%
|
49%
|
46%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
46%
|
45%
|
47%
|
|
|
Iowa Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
44%
|
43%
|
42%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
52%
|
50%
|
52%
|
|
|
Kansas Safe Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
54%
|
55%
|
55%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
41%
|
39%
|
39%
|
|
|
Kentucky Safe Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
55%
|
53%
|
54%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
43%
|
43%
|
40%
|
|
|
Louisiana Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
57%
|
56%
|
55%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
41%
|
40%
|
41%
|
|
|
Maine Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
43%
|
45%
|
40%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
56%
|
52%
|
52%
|
|
|
Maryland Safe Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
37%
|
40%
|
39%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
60%
|
54%
|
55%
|
|
|
Massachusetts Safe Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
34%
|
36%
|
36%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
62%
|
57%
|
58%
|
|
|
Michigan Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
43%
|
42%
|
41%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
53%
|
53%
|
50%
|
|
|
Minnesota Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
43%
|
43%
|
42%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
55%
|
54%
|
51%
|
|
|
Mississippi Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
53%
|
53%
|
52%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
45%
|
43%
|
41%
|
|
|
Missouri Toss-Up
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
49%
|
47%
|
46%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
49%
|
49%
|
48%
|
|
|
Montana Toss-Up
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
50%
|
52%
|
49%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
46%
|
44%
|
43%
|
|
|
Nebraska Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
56%
|
53%
|
57%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
37%
|
35%
|
36%
|
|
|
Nevada Toss-Up
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
46%
|
46%
|
46%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
50%
|
50%
|
48%
|
|
|
New Hampshire Leans Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
44%
|
46%
|
44%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
51%
|
50%
|
49%
|
|
|
New Jersey Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
42%
|
42%
|
40%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
57%
|
54%
|
53%
|
|
|
New Mexico Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
44%
|
43%
|
43%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
54%
|
53%
|
51%
|
|
|
New York Safe Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
37%
|
37%
|
35%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
57%
|
55%
|
59%
|
|
|
North Carolina Toss-Up
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
50%
|
49%
|
47%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
49%
|
49%
|
47%
|
|
|
North Dakota Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
55%
|
49%
|
48%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
41%
|
42%
|
44%
|
|
|
Ohio Toss-Up
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
49%
|
48%
|
45%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
49%
|
48%
|
48%
|
|
|
Oklahoma Safe Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
63%
|
63%
|
62%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
32%
|
32%
|
33%
|
|
|
Oregon Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
42%
|
43%
|
40%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
54%
|
53%
|
52%
|
|
|
Pennsylvania Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
46%
|
46%
|
42%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
52%
|
52%
|
51%
|
|
|
Rhode Island Safe Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
39%
|
35%
|
34%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
58%
|
57%
|
52%
|
|
|
South Carolina Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
54%
|
51%
|
55%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
43%
|
42%
|
40%
|
|
|
South Dakota Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
53%
|
50%
|
51%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
44%
|
40%
|
40%
|
|
|
Tennessee Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
54%
|
56%
|
55%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
42%
|
38%
|
39%
|
|
|
Texas Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
54%
|
52%
|
54%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
44%
|
43%
|
41%
|
|
|
Utah Safe Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
64%
|
56%
|
64%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
32%
|
33%
|
28%
|
|
|
Vermont Safe Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
36%
|
36%
|
34%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
60%
|
60%
|
58%
|
|
|
Virginia Leans Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
47%
|
46%
|
45%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
51%
|
52%
|
49%
|
|
|
Washington Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
43%
|
44%
|
41%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
54%
|
52%
|
51%
|
|
|
West Virginia Likely Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
52%
|
49%
|
49%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
43%
|
41%
|
43%
|
|
|
Wisconsin Likely Democratic
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
44%
|
45%
|
41%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
51%
|
51%
|
51%
|
|
|
Wyoming Safe Republican
|
Latest RR Poll
|
RR Poll Avg.
|
"538" Avg.
|
RR Mkts.
|
In Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
58%
|
58%
|
60%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
39%
|
39%
|
34%
|
|
|
|