If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

 

Presidential Status Bars

Alabama Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538"Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

55%

55%

59%

Obama (D)

37%

37%

35%

Alaska Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

57%

59%

56%

Obama (D)

41%

38%

38%

Arizona Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

51%

54%

52%

Obama (D)

46%

40%

39%

Arkansas Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

54%

51%

51%

Obama (D)

44%

41%

39%

California Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

34%

38%

37%

Obama (D)

61%

58%

55%

Colorado Leans Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

47%

46%

44%

Obama (D)

51%

51%

50%

Connecticut Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

38%

39%

38%

Obama (D)

54%

53%

53%

Delaware Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

41%

42%

39%

Obama (D)

56%

55%

56%

Florida

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

McCain (R)

50%

49%

Obama (D)

49%

49%

Georgia Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

52%

52%

51%

Obama (D)

47%

46%

44%

Hawaii Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

27%

27%

29%

Obama (D)

68%

68%

66%

Idaho Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

68%

68%

64%

Obama (D)

29%

29%

30%

Illinois Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

38%

39%

36%

Obama (D)

60%

57%

57%

Indiana Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

49%

49%

46%

Obama (D)

46%

45%

47%

Iowa Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

44%

43%

42%

Obama (D)

52%

50%

52%

Kansas Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

54%

55%

55%

Obama (D)

41%

39%

39%

Kentucky Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

55%

53%

54%

Obama (D)

43%

43%

40%

Louisiana Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

57%

56%

55%

Obama (D)

41%

40%

41%

Maine Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

43%

45%

40%

Obama (D)

56%

52%

52%

Maryland Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

37%

40%

39%

Obama (D)

60%

54%

55%

Massachusetts Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

34%

36%

36%

Obama (D)

62%

57%

58%

Michigan Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

43%

42%

41%

Obama (D)

53%

53%

50%

Minnesota Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

43%

43%

42%

Obama (D)

55%

54%

51%

Mississippi Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

53%

53%

52%

Obama (D)

45%

43%

41%

Missouri Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

49%

47%

46%

Obama (D)

49%

49%

48%

Montana Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

50%

52%

49%

Obama (D)

46%

44%

43%

Nebraska Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

56%

53%

57%

Obama (D)

37%

35%

36%

Nevada Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

46%

46%

46%

Obama (D)

50%

50%

48%

New Hampshire Leans Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

44%

46%

44%

Obama (D)

51%

50%

49%

New Jersey Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

42%

42%

40%

Obama (D)

57%

54%

53%

New Mexico Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

44%

43%

43%

Obama (D)

54%

53%

51%

New York Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts .

In Trade

McCain (R)

37%

37%

35%

Obama (D)

57%

55%

59%

North Carolina Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

50%

49%

47%

Obama (D)

49%

49%

47%

North Dakota Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

55%

49%

48%

Obama (D)

41%

42%

44%

Ohio Toss-Up

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

49%

48%

45%

Obama (D)

49%

48%

48%

Oklahoma Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

63%

63%

62%

Obama (D)

32%

32%

33%

Oregon Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

42%

43%

40%

Obama (D)

54%

53%

52%

Pennsylvania Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

46%

46%

42%

Obama (D)

52%

52%

51%

Rhode Island Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

39%

35%

34%

Obama (D)

58%

57%

52%

South Carolina Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

54%

51%

55%

Obama (D)

43%

42%

40%

South Dakota Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

53%

50%

51%

Obama (D)

44%

40%

40%

Tennessee Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

54%

56%

55%

Obama (D)

42%

38%

39%

Texas Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

54%

52%

54%

Obama (D)

44%

43%

41%

Utah Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

64%

56%

64%

Obama (D)

32%

33%

28%

Vermont Safe Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

36%

36%

34%

Obama (D)

60%

60%

58%

Virginia Leans Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

47%

46%

45%

Obama (D)

51%

52%

49%

Washington Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

43%

44%

41%

Obama (D)

54%

52%

51%

West Virginia Likely Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

52%

49%

49%

Obama (D)

43%

41%

43%

Wisconsin Likely Democratic

Latest RR Poll

RR P oll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

44%

45%

41%

Obama (D)

51%

51%

51%

Wyoming Safe Republican

Latest RR Poll

RR Poll Avg.

"538" Avg.

RR Mkts.

In Trade

McCain (R)

58%

58%

60%

Obama (D)

39%

39%

34%