|
|
Alabama
Safe Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
55%
|
55%
|
59%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
37%
|
37%
|
35%
|
|
|
Alaska
Safe Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
57%
|
59%
|
56%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
41%
|
38%
|
38%
|
|
|
Arizona
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
51%
|
54%
|
52%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
46%
|
40%
|
39%
|
|
|
Arkansas
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
54%
|
51%
|
51%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
44%
|
41%
|
39%
|
|
|
California
Safe Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
34%
|
38%
|
37%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
61%
|
58%
|
55%
|
|
|
Colorado
Leans Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
47%
|
46%
|
44%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
51%
|
51%
|
50%
|
|
|
Connecticut
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
38%
|
39%
|
38%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
54%
|
53%
|
53%
|
|
|
Delaware
Safe Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
41%
|
42%
|
39%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
56%
|
55%
|
56%
|
|
|
Florida
Toss-Up
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
50%
|
49%
|
46%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
49%
|
49%
|
48%
|
|
|
Georgia
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
52%
|
52%
|
51%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
47%
|
46%
|
44%
|
|
|
Hawaii
Safe Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
27%
|
27%
|
29%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
68%
|
68%
|
66%
|
|
|
Idaho
Safe Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
68%
|
68%
|
64%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
29%
|
29%
|
30%
|
|
|
Illinois
Safe Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
38%
|
39%
|
36%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
60%
|
57%
|
57%
|
|
|
Indiana
Toss-Up
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
49%
|
49%
|
46%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
46%
|
45%
|
47%
|
|
|
Iowa
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
44%
|
43%
|
42%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
52%
|
50%
|
52%
|
|
|
Kansas
Safe Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
54%
|
55%
|
55%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
41%
|
39%
|
39%
|
|
|
Kentucky
Safe Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
55%
|
53%
|
54%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
43%
|
43%
|
40%
|
|
|
Louisiana
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
57%
|
56%
|
55%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
41%
|
40%
|
41%
|
|
|
Maine
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
43%
|
45%
|
40%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
56%
|
52%
|
52%
|
|
|
Maryland
Safe Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
37%
|
40%
|
39%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
60%
|
54%
|
55%
|
|
|
Massachusetts
Safe Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
34%
|
36%
|
36%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
62%
|
57%
|
58%
|
|
|
Michigan
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
43%
|
42%
|
41%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
53%
|
53%
|
50%
|
|
|
Minnesota
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
43%
|
43%
|
42%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
55%
|
54%
|
51%
|
|
|
Mississippi
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
53%
|
53%
|
52%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
45%
|
43%
|
41%
|
|
|
Missouri
Toss-Up
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
49%
|
47%
|
46%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
49%
|
49%
|
48%
|
|
|
Montana
Toss-Up
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
50%
|
52%
|
49%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
46%
|
44%
|
43%
|
|
|
Nebraska
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
56%
|
53%
|
57%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
37%
|
35%
|
36%
|
|
|
Nevada
Toss-Up
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
46%
|
46%
|
46%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
50%
|
50%
|
48%
|
|
|
New Hampshire
Leans Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
44%
|
46%
|
44%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
51%
|
50%
|
49%
|
|
|
New Jersey
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
42%
|
42%
|
40%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
57%
|
54%
|
53%
|
|
|
New Mexico
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
44%
|
43%
|
43%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
54%
|
53%
|
51%
|
|
|
New York
Safe Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
37%
|
37%
|
35%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
57%
|
55%
|
59%
|
|
|
North Carolina
Toss-Up
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
50%
|
49%
|
47%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
49%
|
49%
|
47%
|
|
|
North Dakota
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
55%
|
49%
|
48%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
41%
|
42%
|
44%
|
|
|
Ohio
Toss-Up
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
49%
|
48%
|
45%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
49%
|
48%
|
48%
|
|
|
Oklahoma
Safe Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
63%
|
63%
|
62%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
32%
|
32%
|
33%
|
|
|
Oregon
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
42%
|
43%
|
40%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
54%
|
53%
|
52%
|
|
|
Pennsylvania
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
46%
|
46%
|
42%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
52%
|
52%
|
51%
|
|
|
Rhode Island
Safe Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
39%
|
35%
|
34%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
58%
|
57%
|
52%
|
|
|
South Carolina
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
54%
|
51%
|
55%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
43%
|
42%
|
40%
|
|
|
South Dakota
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
53%
|
50%
|
51%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
44%
|
40%
|
40%
|
|
|
Tennessee
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
54%
|
56%
|
55%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
42%
|
38%
|
39%
|
|
|
Texas
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
54%
|
52%
|
54%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
44%
|
43%
|
41%
|
|
|
Utah
Safe Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
64%
|
56%
|
64%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
32%
|
33%
|
28%
|
|
|
Vermont
Safe Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
36%
|
36%
|
34%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
60%
|
60%
|
58%
|
|
|
Virginia
Leans Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
47%
|
46%
|
45%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
51%
|
52%
|
49%
|
|
|
Washington
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
43%
|
44%
|
41%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
54%
|
52%
|
51%
|
|
|
West Virginia
Likely Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
52%
|
49%
|
49%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
43%
|
41%
|
43%
|
|
|
Wisconsin
Likely Democratic
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
44%
|
45%
|
41%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
51%
|
51%
|
51%
|
|
|
Wyoming
Safe Republican
|
Latest
RR Poll
|
RR Poll
Avg.
|
"538"
Avg.
|
RR
Mkts.
|
In
Trade
|
McCain (R)
|
58%
|
58%
|
60%
|
|
|
Obama (D)
|
39%
|
39%
|
34%
|
|
|
|
