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Rasmussen Markets See Clinton Winning Pennsylvania, Indiana, West Virginia, Kentucky
Sunday, March 09, 2008
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Rasmussen Markets data on Sunday morning shows that Hillary Clinton is expected to win upcoming contests in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Kentucky. The former First Lady is very slightly favored in Indiana. Obama is expected to win in Mississippi, North Carolina, Oregon, and Montana. Because the market data is updated continuously on a 24/7 basis by the actions of market participants, expectations are constantly changing. Up-to-the-minute pricing shows expectations for a Clinton victory in Pennsylvania at %. In Indiana, she is given a % chance of winning while her prospects in West Virginia are at %. In Kentucky, current pricing shows Clinton with a % chance of victory. Expectations for Obama victories are at % in Mississippi, % in North Carolina, % in Oregon, and % in Montana. On a related topic, Obama is given a % chance of winning the most Superdelegates. Since he is likely to win the most pledged delegates, he will get the nomination if he also prevails among the Superdelegates. Data in this article is from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market. You can even set up your own fantasy politics league to compete with family, friends, and co-workers. Overall, Rasmussen Markets data now give Obama a % chance to win the Democratic nomination while expectations for a Clinton victory are at %. On one of the key controversies in the nomination contest, both Florida and Michigan are expected to hold new primaries. Expectations for a new Florida primary are at %. In Michigan, the expectations are at %. Rasmussen Reports has released polling data for the contests in Mississippi, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina. Polls have also been released for possible Primaries in Florida and Michigan. Nationally, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows Obama and Clinton continue to be locked in a very close in the race for the nomination. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIESElectoral College: Obama 217 McCain 174 59% Would Vote to Replace Entire Congress The Palin-Biden Verdict By Debra J. Saunders What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls 45% Say Biden Won Debate, 37% Say Palin New Rasmussen Reports Party Weighting Targets: 39.3% Democrat 33.3% Republican 34% Say Veep Debate Key To Their Vote Return to Redistricting Sanity By Debra J. Saunders Palin Makes Good First Impression: Is Viewed More Favorably than Biden Advertisement
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