Toplines: McCain-Obama on Iraq

Survey of 1,200 Likely Voters

May 16-18, 2008

1* John McCain recently gave a speech saying that-- if he is elected President—the United States will win the War in Iraq during his first term in office. McCain also said that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office. If you had to choose just one of those goals as the higher priority, would you rather see the United States win the War in Iraq or get the troops home from Iraq within four years?

39% Win the war

52% Get the troops home

8% Not sure

2* If John McCain is elected President, how likely is it that the United States will win the War in Iraq?

23% Very likely

26% Somewhat likely

23% Not very likely

19% Not at all likely

9% Not sure

3* If Barack Obama is elected President, how likely is it that the United States will win the War in Iraq?

6% Very likely

14% Somewhat likely

32% Not very likely

40% Not at all likely

8% Not sure

4* If John McCain is elected President, how likely is it that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office?

13% Very likely

30% Somewhat likely

29% Not very likely

22% Not at all likely

6% Not sure

5* If Barack Obama is elected President, how likely is it that virtually all combat troops will be home from Iraq by the end of his first term in office?

29% Very likely

30% Somewhat likely

22% Not very likely

12% Not at all likely

8% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence