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Rasmussen Reports to Partner with FiveThirtyEight.com
Friday, June 13, 2008
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Rasmussen Reports is pleased to announce that it will be including poll averages from FiveThirtyEight.com in its Balance of Power Calculator. FiveThirtyEight.com has developed a model for averaging state-by-state polls based upon the timing of the poll, the reliability of the polling firm, and other factors. The site’s name comes from the total number of Electoral College votes available to the Presidential candidates. Rasmussen Reports will aggregate the FiveThirtyEight.com averages and other data to provide a comprehensive assessment of the state-by-state race for the White House. Scott Rasmussen, President of Rasmussen Reports, noted that “Nate Silver and fivethirtyeight.com are a great example of how the online community is improving election coverage. His quantitative approach is a welcome addition to the debate and a valuable resource for any serious electoral analyst or armchair campaign manager.” Silver said, “I’m thrilled to be working with Rasmussen Reports in this endeavor. In addition to being one of the most active and reliable pollsters, Scott and his team have made every effort to consider other sources of information in order to provide their readers with the most comprehensive electoral picture possible”. The FiveThirtyEight.com averages will be featured along with new polling data released this week by Rasmussen Reports (methodology). In addition to the FiveThirtyEight.com average, data inputs for the Balance of Power Calculator include the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in a state, an average of the latest polling from other firms, Rasmussen Markets data, Intrade market data, the aggregated rankings of selected analysts, the state’s voting history, and national trends. The weight given to each variable varies over time (i.e.—polls will be counted more heavily in October than today, a state’s history will be counted more heavily today than in October). Currently, the Balance of Power Calculator shows Barack Obama ahead in states with 200 Electoral College votes and John McCain leads in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, Obama leads 260-240. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIESWhat They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Public Support for Sotomayor Falls After Supreme Court Reversal Plans for General Motors Might Run Afoul of Public Opinion Americans Still Embrace Ideals from Declaration of Independence Republicans Lead Again on Congressional Ballot Massachusetts: 26% Consider State’s Health Care Reform a Success 56% Don’t Want To Pay More To Fight Global Warming 62% Agree Fourth of July Is One of America’s Most Important Holidays 44% Nationwide Have Unfavorable View of Franken Advertisement
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