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Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats Hold on to Solid Lead
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The latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot shows little change over the past week. If the congressional election were held today, 48% of voters say they would vote for their district’s Democratic candidate, while 34% would for vote for the Republican candidate.

The support for Republican candidates is the same as last week, while support for Democrats has increased just one point. Only once in the last fourteen months have Democrats enjoyed more support or a bigger advantage over the GOP.

From now through Election Day, Rasmussen Reports will track the Generic Congressional Ballot on a weekly basis.

The telephone survey of 7,000 Likely Voters found that those whose top concerns are economic issues choose the Democratic candidates over Republicans by a 58% to 24% margin. Republicans have the advantage among voters whose top concern is national security by a 51% to 35% margin.

When it comes to fiscal issues, the Republicans have the advantage by a 52% to 26% margin. On Domestic issues such as Social Security and Health Care, the Democrats have an overwhelming forty-one point advantage. On Cultural issues, which include same-sex marriage and abortion, the Republicans have the solid advantage.

As for voters not affiliated with either major political party, 37% would choose their Democratic candidate, while just 24% would vote Republican. The parties are essentially tied when it comes to white voters, while Democrats are overwhelmingly favored by black voters.

Forty-four percent (44%) say economic issues are most important this year while 23% name national security issues. Those figures have changed little in recent weeks but are markedly different from Election 2004.

The survey also found that just 16% of voters believe America is heading in the right direction. The majority (80%) say America is going down the wrong track.

Other recent polling shows that Democrats have a ten-percentage point lead in terms of partisan identification. The Rasmussen Consumer Index currently shows consumer confidence at record lows as well. Falling along with consumer confidence are President Bush’s Job Approval ratings, also at record lows.

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Date

Dem

GOP

06-09-08

48%

34%

06-02-08

47%

34%

05-22-08

47%

39%

04-29-08

46%

41%

04-06-08

43%

37%

03-13-08

44%

40%

02-14-08

44%

40%

01-15-08

43%

38%

12-09-07

46%

36%

11-04-07

46%

35%

10-04-07

48%

36%

09-04-07

50%

32%

08-01-07

47%

37%

07-17-07

46%

37%

06-21-07

46%

34%

05-31-07

45%

38%

05-03-07

47%

36%

04-10-07

45%

35%

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