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War on Terror Update
Confidence in War on Terror Falls Slightly in April
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The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 45% of likely voters believe the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror. Twenty percent (24%) say the terrorists are winning, while 26% say neither.

Those numbers are slightly more pessimistic than last month, when 47% believed the U.S. and its allies were winning and just 20% thought the terrorists were winning. Over the past several months, confidence in the War on Terror has grown to the highest levels since the President was re-elected. The 45% who say the U.S. and its allies are winning is well above the 33% who held that view at the beginning of 2007.

For the first time in six months, a plurality of voters believe the situation in Iraq will get worse over the coming months. Thirty percent (30%) now say the situation in Iraq will get better in the next six months while (36%) hold the opposite view and believe the situation will get worse.

Long-term optimism has also fallen slightly over the past month. Thirty-two percent (32%) of Likely Voters now say history will deem the U.S. mission in Iraq a success – a two-point decrease from last month. Now half (50%) of adults say the U.S. mission in Iraq will be deemed a failure. Forty-four percent (44%) of Likely Voters say the United States is safer today than it was before 9/11 while 36% say it is not. Those numbers have improved since last month.

Bush’s approval numbers have also decreased from last month. Just 28% say Bush has done a good or excellent job handling the situation in Iraq. Nearly half (49%) disagree and give him a poor rating. A separate survey has consistently found that roughly six-out-of-ten Americans would like to see the troops brought home from Iraq within the year.

Men are slightly more optimistic about the war than women. While half of men (50%) say the U.S. and its allies are winning, just 40% of women agree. Over a quarter of women (27%) say the terrorists are winning, while only 19% of men think the same. Men are fairly evenly divided as to how history will view the mission in Iraq. Forty percent (40%) of men say the mission will be deemed a success while 47% say it will be seen as a failure. Most women (53%) believe the efforts in Iraq will be seen as a failure. Just half as many--26%--believe it will be judged a success.

The overwhelming majority of Republican voters (75%) say the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror. Less than a third of Democrats (29%) agree. While just 8% of GOP’s say the terrorists are winning, 38% of Democratic voters say the same.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs and Historical Data available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.


Who is Winning the War on Terror?

Dates

US/Allies

Terrorists

Apr 16-17

45

24

Mar 24-25

47

20

Feb 29-Mar 2

46

22

Feb 1-3

49

23

Jan 2-3, 2008

43

25

Nov 26-27

47

24

Oct 22-23

43

30

Sep 21-23

39

28

Aug 20-21

39

32

Jul 18-19

36

36

Jun 15-17

36

32

Jun 4-5

40

32

May 7-8

36

34

Apr 11-12

37

33

Mar 19-20

38

34

Feb 21-22

36

36

Jan 29-30

37

32

Jan 3-4, 2007

33

36

For history prior to January 2007, click here.

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