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Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats Lead by Ten
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The Democrats lead by ten in the Generic Congressional Ballot this week. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone tracking results for this week find that, if Congressional elections were held today, 46% of voters would vote for their district’s Democratic candidate, while 36% would choose the Republican candidate.

Support for both parties has stayed in a very narrow range. Since weekly tracking on this question began in June, support for Democratic Congressmen has ranged from 45% to 48%. Support for the GOP has ranged from 34% to 36%. Over the past year, support for Democrats has ranged from a low of 43% to a high of 50%. Over that same time, Republicans have been preferred by 34% to 41% of voters nationwide.

Support for the Democrats is down just one point from last week and is up from one from two weeks ago. The party’s ten point lead is identical to the lead Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s party enjoyed in mid July. From now through Election Day, Rasmussen Reports is tracking the Generic Congressional Ballot on a weekly basis. Premium Members can get the results each Monday and can also review Crosstabs.

While Democrats still enjoy a comfortable lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot, the race for the White House remains tight in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Other key stats on Election 2008 are updated daily at Obama-McCain: By the Numbers. A separate poll to be released later today finds that John McCain is trusted more than Barack Obama on nine out of fourteen key electoral issues.

While each party receives over 80% support from party members, the Democrats have a 33% to 29% advantage among unaffiliated voters. The Democrats lead 51% to 32% among women, but lead by just a 42% to 41% margin among men.

Rasmussen Reports tracking data also shows just 17% of voters believe the nation is heading in the right direction, while 78% think the country is heading down the wrong track. Those numbers have changed little over the past week.

Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free)… let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.

Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Date

Dem

GOP

08-03-08

46%

36%

07-27-08

47%

34%

07-20-08

45%

36%

07-13-08

46%

36%

07-06-08

47%

34%

06-29-08

47%

35%

06-22-08

47%

34%

06-15-08

48%

34%

06-08-08

47%

34%

05-22-08

47%

39%

04-29-08

46%

41%

04-06-08

43%

37%

03-13-08

44%

40%

02-14-08

44%

40%

01-15-08

43%

38%

12-09-07

46%

36%

11-04-07

46%

35%

10-04-07

48%

36%

09-04-07

50%

32%

08-01-07

47%

37%

07-17-07

46%

37%

06-21-07

46%

34%

05-31-07

45%

38%

05-03-07

47%

36%

04-10-07

45%

35%

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