If the Congressional elections were held today, forty-two percent (42%) of Likely Voters say they would vote for a Democrat while 40% say they would vote for a Republican.

For most of 2004, the Democrats' advantage on this question has been in the 4 to 7 point range.

On September 1, Rasmussen Reports began interviewing 1,000 Likely Voters per night (up from 500 per night). Results are reported on a three-day rolling average basis for a full sample of 3,000 Likely Voters. With the expanded number of interviews, we have decided to publish results to the nearest tenth of a percentage point for the balance of the campaign.

Congressional ballot figures will be updated daily between now and the November election. Rasmussen Reports also provides daily updates on the Presidential race.

It is important to note that while surveys of Congressional ballot preference can measure broad trends and voter attitudes, they do not indicate likely results in the race for control of Congress.

In the House of Representatives, only a handful of the 435 races will truly be competitive. Incumbents, especially those who have served more than one term, rarely lose. So, barring a major shift of public attitudes in favor of the Democrats, it is highly unlikely that Democrats will regain control of the House.