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Voters Say No Trump No Solution to What Divides Us

Tuesday, October 01, 2019

Voters are more likely to blame President Trump for the country’s political division but don’t think electing Hillary Clinton instead would have changed much. They also don’t see Trump’s defeat next year as a solution to what divides us.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters think Trump is more to blame than his political opponents for the division in America. That’s up from 45% in April of last year. Thirty-eight percent (38%) blame the president’s political opponents more, down from 43% in January. Ten percent (10%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

But 34% say America would be more divided if Clinton had been elected president in 2016. Thirty-six percent (36%) say it would be less divided, while 25% figure the level of division would be about the same.

Similarly, 37% of voters predict the country will become more divided if Trump is defeated by his Democratic opponent in the 2020 election. Only 32% say America will be less divided if Trump is not reelected. Twenty-four percent (24%) think the level of division will be about the same.

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 29-30, 2019 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Just over half of voters say they are likely to vote against Trump next year, and most of them say the president, not the Democratic candidate, is the likeliest reason why. Against the leading Democratic contender, however, it's Trump 47%, Joe Biden 43%.

Voters under 40 are much more likely than their elders to blame Trump for the division in America. But even younger voters are closely divided over whether Clinton’s election or a Trump defeat next year would change that.

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Democrats and unaffiliated voters by a 46% to 38% margin blame Trump for what divides us. Sixty-six percent (66%) of Republicans blame his political opponents.

Most Democrats think a Hillary win and a Trump loss would mean less division. Most Republicans disagree. Unaffiliateds are more closely divided.

Fifty-six percent (56%) of voters who blame Trump for the current division think his defeat next year would mean American will become less divided. Among voters who blame the president’s opponents for the division, 70% say his defeat would make us more divided.

Voters rank Trump well ahead of Barack Obama in his handling of the economy at this point in their presidencies. Trump’s national security approval is at the high level his predecessor enjoyed just after the killing of 9/11 mastermind Osama bin Laden.

Consumer and economic confidence remain at or near record highs.

Most Americans blame politicians and the media for the "toxic" culture that some say we live in.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.

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