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Just 46% Expect ‘Noticeable Change’ If GOP Wins Congress, 33% Don’t

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

Beauty’s in the eye of the beholder, as the old saying goes, and most voters still aren’t convinced that there will be a big change in their lives if Republicans win control of Congress.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 33% of Likely U.S. Voters, in fact, say there will not be “a noticeable change” in the lives of most Americans if the GOP wins control of the House and Senate.

However, a plurality (46%) believes there will be such a change if Republicans take control of Congress away from Democrats. Twenty-two percent (22%) aren’t sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

This marks little change since February when 43% felt there would be a noticeable change in most Americans’ lives if the Republicans won control. Forty-seven percent (47%) felt that way in July.

Most analysts predict the GOP will win control of the House but view a Republican takeover of the Senate as more of a long shot. As Scott Rasmussen noted in the Wall Street Journal yesterday, however, “In this environment, it would be wise for all Republicans to remember that their team didn't win, the other team lost.”

A webinar by Scott Rasmussen   featuring Election Night polling data is scheduled for Wednesday at 1:00 p.m. Eastern for Platinum members

Most voters say today’s election is a referendum on the president’s agenda and that he should change course if Republicans win control of the House. But most also don’t expect him to make that change.

Republicans hold a 12-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 28-29, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.


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