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New Jersey Senate: Lautenberg Leads GOP Candidates
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The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of New Jersey voters found Democratic Incumbent Frank Lautenberg leading three Republican opponents in the race for the U.S. Senate in head to head match-ups.

Lautenberg leads Anne Evans Estabrook 44% to 34%, Joe Pennacchio 46% to 38% and Murray Sabrin 46% to 31%.

Against Estabrook, Lautenberg draws in votes from 48% of females and 40% of males. Estabrook earns support from 36% of males and 33% of females. Lautenberg leads Pennacchio by twenty-six points among female voters.

Lautenberg is ahead in all three match-ups when it comes to unaffiliated voters. He leads Estabrook 38% to 21%, Pennacchio 44% to 25% and Sabrin 37% to 22% among voters not affiliated with either major party.

Just over half of voters (51%) have a favorable opinion of Lautenberg. Thirty-nine percent (39%) share an unfavorable opinion of the senator. The three republican candidates are less known. Estabrook is viewed favorably by 32%, unfavorably by 32% and 36% are not sure. Pennacchio earns positive ratings from 35%, negative ratings from 27% and 38% are not sure. Forty-percent (40%) of voters are not sure of their opinions on Sabrin, while 29% view him favorably and 32% view him unfavorably.

While the poll results are generally encouraging for Lautenberg, any incumbent who polls below 50% is considered potentially vulnerable.

Rasmussen Markets data now shows the Democrats are favored to win the New Jersey senate race (current prices: Democrat Republican ) Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

New Jersey Survey of 500 Likely Voters
February 27, 2008

Frank Lautenberg (D) vs.
Anne Evans Estabrook (R)

Frank Lautenberg (D)

44%

Anne Evans Estabrook (R)

34%

Frank Lautenberg (D) vs.
Joe Pennacchio (R)

Frank Lautenberg (D)

46%

Joe Pennacchio (R)

38%

Frank Lautenberg (D) vs.
Murray Sabrin (R)

Frank Lautenberg (D)

46%

Murray Sabrin (R)

31%

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