Saturday, October 25, 2008

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Democrat Jeanne Shaheen continues to hold a steady lead over incumbent John Sununu in New Hampshire’s U.S. Senate race. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds the challenger leading 52% to 46%.

Earlier in the month, Shaheen held a five-point advantage and she has been on top in nine of ten polls conducted this year. This is just the second time that Sununu has received more than 45% support all year. Any incumbent who polls below 50% is considered vulnerable.

Shaheen has a 52% to 44% edge among unaffiliated voters in the state. Her lead was double that three weeks ago. She leads 57% to 41% among women, but trails Sununu 50% to 47% among men (see full demographic crosstabs).

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Shaheen, the first woman governor of New Hampshire, served from 1997 to 2003. Sununu, who at 44 is the youngest U.S. Senator, is currently seeking his second term in the legislature.

Sununu is viewed favorably by 52% and unfavorably by 47%. Shaheen’s ratings are 54% favorable, 45% unfavorable.

New Hampshire is far from the only Republican Senate seat at risk this season. Democrats are hoping for pick-ups in Alaska, Oregon, New Mexico, Colorado, Mississippi, Minnesota, North Carolina, Georgia, Kentucky, and Virginia.

Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Shaheen has a % chance of winning New Hampshire’s Senate race in November. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom.

Governor John Lynch earns good or excellent ratings from 62% of voters, while just 11% give his job performance a poor rating.

The latest numbers from New Hampshire’s presidential election finds Barack Obama leading John McCain by four percentage points in the Granite State.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.