Tuesday, July 22, 2008

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Democrat Mark Udall is still narrowly ahead of Republican Bob Schaffer in the race to become Colorado’s next United States Senator. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds Udall up 47% to 43% this month. When “leaners” are included, it’s a three-point advantage for the Democrat, 49% to 46%.

Last month, Rep. Udall enjoyed a nine-point lead over Shaffer. In May, he led by six. Prior to May, the race had been essentially even.

Udall and Schaffer are competing for the right to replace Republican Senator Wayne Allard.

A Udall win could mean more bad news for the Republicans in the Senate, who are at risk of losing even more seats to the Democrats this fall. Other Republican seats at risk include Alaska, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Colorado, Mississippi, Kansas, Virginia and Kentucky.

Among unaffiliated voters, Udall leads by just four percentage points. A month ago, he held a twenty-one point lead among these voters.

Both candidates are viewed favorably by 54% of Colorado voters. Those ratings represent a seven-point improvement for Schaffer but a two-point decline for Udall.

Rasmussen Markets data suggests that Udall has a % chance of winning Colorado’s Senate race in November. These results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom.

In Colorado’s Presidential election, Barack Obama leads John McCain.

Governor Bill Ritter (D) earns good or excellent ratings from 41% of Colorado voters. A quarter (25%) say he is doing a poor job as governor.

See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.