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Clinton and Obama Have Slim Edge Over GOP in Wisconsin
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Wisconsin may again prove to be too close to call in 2008. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that Democrats generally have the edge in the presidential race here, but only by slim-to-moderate margins.

Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee trail Hillary Clinton in a new Rasmussen Reports survey of the state. But former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani has a statistically insignificant two point advantage—it’s Giuliani in 44% Clinton 42%. Senator Clinton leads former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney 46% to 40%, and former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 45% to 39% (see crosstabs).

The survey also looks at two possible match-ups with Senator Barack Obama as the Democratic standard-bearer. Obama leads Huckabee 48% to 37%, and leads Giuliani 45% to 42%.

An October poll of Wisconsin voters showed broadly similar results with Clinton holding narrow leads over most GOP hopefuls.

Giuliani siphons off more of the Democratic vote than the other GOP contenders, especially with Obama as his opponent. In that case, Giuliani attracts 16% of Democrats; against Clinton, he attracts 13%. Democratic presidential candidates John Kerry and Al Gore won the state in 2004 and 2000, but by only several thousand votes out of almost three million cast.

Clinton is viewed favorably by 48% of likely Wisconsin voters, unfavorably by 51%. Obama is at 56% favorable. Giuliani is viewed favorably by 55%, Huckabee by 44%, Romney by 43%.

Thirty-eight percent (38%) believe the Wisconsin primary, scheduled for mid-February, will help decide who becomes the Republican and Democratic nominees; 35% disagree.

Given eight candidates of both parties to choose from, a fifth of Wisconsin voters say Hillary Clinton is the presidential aspirant most likely to bring down oil prices. Fourteen percent (14%) say Rudy Giuliani, 13% say Barack Obama. Twenty-three percent (23%) are Not Sure.

A majority support a tough response to illegal aliens. Seventy-four percent (74%) think a police officer should routinely check the immigration status of drivers pulled over for traffic violations, and 53% say that anyone thus discovered to be here illegally should be deported. Seventy-nine percent (79%) say English should be the official language of the United States, 76% that companies should be allowed to require employees to speak English while on the job.

A large plurality of Wisconsin voters (48%) expect to spend less on Christmas gifts this year than they did last year; only 21% expect to spend more.

The survey was conducted in partnership with Fox Television Stations, Inc.

See survey questions and top-line results. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Wisconsin Survey of 500 Likely Voters
December 5, 2007

Hillary Clinton (D) vs.
Rudy Giuliani (R)

Hillary Clinton (D)

42%

Rudy Giuliani (R)

44%

Hillary Clinton (D) vs.
Mitt Romney (R)

Hillary Clinton (D)

46%

Mitt Romney (R)

40%

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