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Texas: Obama 48% Clinton 44%
Thursday, February 28, 2008
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Barack Obama has moved ahead of Hillary Clinton in Texas. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows Obama attracting 48% of the vote while Clinton earns 44%. Eight percent (8%) remain undecided and another 12% say it’s possible they could change their mind. That latter figure includes 3% who say there’s a good chance they could change their mind. Obama leads by sixteen points among men, but trails by nine among women. Clinton’s lead among Hispanic voters is down to seven percentage points. Among those who are undecided, 73% have a favorable opinion of Clinton and 66% say the same about Obama. Overall, 76% have a favorable opinion of Clinton and 75% view Obama in such a positive light. Seventy-nine percent (79%) believe Clinton would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. Seventy-eight percent (78%) say the same about Obama. These latest results show a continuing trend in Obama’s favor. Last Sunday, Clinton led by a single point. Last week, Clinton was up by three. Two weeks ago, the former First Lady enjoyed a double digit lead. The Rasmussen Reports surveys in Texas include people who have already voted and those who are likely to vote. Currently, Obama leads by six among those who have already voted or are absolutely certain they will vote. Nationally, Obama continues to lead Clinton in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. Thirty-three percent (33%) of those likely to vote in the Texas Democratic Primary say that the North American Free Trade Agreement—NAFTA—is good for the United States. Forty-one percent (41%) say the opposite. In Ohio, NAFTA receives a much less favorable review from Democratic Primary voters. In Texas, 41% believe Clinton favors NAFTA while 25% believe she opposes it. The opposite perception exists for Obama—46% believe their party’s frontrunner opposes NAFTA while 17% believe he favors it. Rasmussen Markets data just prior to release of this poll showed Barack Obama was heavily favored to win in Texas (current prices: Obama % Clinton %). Overall, Obama is given an % chance to win the Democratic nomination while expectations for a Clinton victory are at %. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market. The current survey sample includes 51% women and 49% men. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of the respondents are white, 16% African-American, and 27% Hispanic. Ten percent (10%) are under 30, 45% are 30-49, and 45% are over 50. Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Survey of 503 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
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