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Election 2008: Tennessee Democratic Presidential Primary
Tennessee: Clinton 49% Obama 35%
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In Tennessee, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama by fourteen percentage points. A Rasmussen Reports telephone survey conducted Wednesday night found Clinton with 49% of the Volunteer State vote while Obama earned 35%. Twelve percent (12%) said they still planned to vote for some other candidate even though only Clinton and Obama are still in the race.

Clinton leads by twenty-five points among women but by just a single point among men. Twenty-six percent (26%) of men are either undecided or say they will vote for some other candidate.

Clinton leads 61% to 23% among white voters while Obama leads 71% to 12% among African-American voters.

Clinton leads by seventeen points among those who consider the economy to be the top issue. The candidates are essentially even among those who consider the War in Iraq as the highest priority.

Forty-six percent (46%) of the state’s Likely Democratic Primary Voters say the economy is the most important voting issue. Twenty-one percent (21%) say it’s the War in Iraq, while 14% see health care as their top voting issue.

Clinton has led nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll since the beginning of 2007, but Obama has gained ground since his victory in South Carolina last week and a series of high profile endorsements. A Rasmussen Reports analysis earlier in the week noted that the numbers still favored Clinton, but sometimes the numbers don’t matter. Since that time, Obama has gained momentum and it is now unlikely that the Democratic nominee will be selected on February 5 (see summary of Super Tuesday polls).

Rasmussen Markets data gives Clinton a % chance of winning the Democratic nomination and Obama a % chance. Numbers in this paragraph are from a prediction market, not a poll. Using a trading format where traders "buy and sell" candidates, issues, and news features, the Rasmussen Markets harness competitive passions to provide a reliable leading indicator of upcoming events. We invite you to participate in the Rasmussen Markets. It costs nothing to join and add your voice to the collective wisdom of the market.

A summary of Rasmussen Markets data for Super Tuesday contests is available for both Republicans and Democrats.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports Election Edge™ Premium Service offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage available anywhere.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 448 Likely Democratic Primary Voters
January 30, 2008

Election 2008: Tennessee Democratic Primary

Hillary Clinton

49%

Barack Obama

35%

Some Other Candidate

12%

Not Sure

4%

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